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Premier League
Referee: D England
Fulham
S T T S T
1–3
Full-time
Everton
U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Everton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 32%
40%
23%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
57%
37%
Both score Ø 57%
71%
43%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,79 xG 1,12
64% Possession 36%
18 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 5
15 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fulham 11. · Everton 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Liverpool 35 25 7 3 +46 +44.7 82
2 Arsenal 35 18 13 4 +33 +25.8 67
3 Man City 35 19 7 9 +24 +16.7 64
4 Newcastle 35 19 6 10 +21 +16.9 63
5 Chelsea 35 18 9 8 +21 +21.6 63
6 Nott'm Forest 35 18 7 10 +12 -4.6 61
7 Aston Villa 35 17 9 9 +6 +8.2 60
8 Bournemouth 35 14 11 10 +13 +14.7 53
9 Brentford 35 15 7 13 +9 +1.3 52
10 Brighton 35 13 13 9 +1 +3.4 52
11 Fulham 35 14 9 12 +3 +5.2 51
12 Crystal Palace 35 11 13 11 -4 +8.7 46
13 Wolves 35 12 5 18 -11 -12.8 41
14 Everton 35 8 15 12 -7 -6.0 39
15 Man United 35 10 9 16 -9 -4.4 39
16 Tottenham 35 11 5 19 +6 -1.0 38
17 West Ham 35 9 10 16 -19 -11.2 37
18 Ipswich 35 4 10 21 -41 -39.8 22
19 Leicester 35 5 6 24 -47 -38.5 21
20 Southampton 35 2 5 28 -57 -48.9 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fulham Everton
1–0 R. Jiménez
E. Smith Rowe
17′
Half-time 1–1
48′
V. Mykolenko 1–1
A. Doucouré
Sander Berge 🟨
56′
61′
🔁 D. McNeil
↦ J. Harrison
61′
🔁 I. Ndiaye
↦ A. Doucouré
Adama Traoré 🔁
↦ E. Smith Rowe
63′
70′
M. Keane 1–2
D. McNeil
Willian 🔁
↦ H. Wilson
74′
T. Cairney 🔁
↦ Andreas Pereira
74′
74′
Beto 1–3
C. Alcaraz
M. Godo 🔁
↦ R. Sessegnon
83′
J. King 🔁
↦ S. Berge
83′
84′
🔁 T. Iroegbunam
↦ C. Alcaraz
91′
🔁 D. Calvert-Lewin
↦ Beto
91′
🔁 S. Coleman
↦ I. Gueye
Adama Traoré ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
99′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Fulham

4-2-3-1
1 B. Leno G
2 K. Tete D
5 J. Andersen D
3 C. Bassey D
30 R. Sessegnon D
18 Andreas Pereira M
16 S. Berge M
8 H. Wilson M
32 E. Smith Rowe M
17 A. Iwobi M
7 R. Jiménez F
Bench (9)
11 Adama Traoré
22 Willian
10 T. Cairney
47 M. Godo
24 J. King
12 Carlos Vinícius
31 I. Diop
23 S. Benda
15 Jorge Cuenca

Coach: Marco Silva

Everton

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pickford G
18 A. Young D
5 M. Keane D
32 J. Branthwaite D
19 V. Mykolenko D
27 I. Gueye M
37 J. Garner M
11 J. Harrison M
16 A. Doucouré M
24 C. Alcaraz M
14 Beto F
Bench (9)
7 D. McNeil
10 I. Ndiaye
42 T. Iroegbunam
9 D. Calvert-Lewin
23 S. Coleman
12 João Virgínia
2 N. Patterson
17 Youssef Chermiti
22 A. Broja

Coach: D. Moyes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,87
U
3,55
B ✓
4,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,04
U2,5
1,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D England · 172 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.