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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Dundee United
S S S T T
0–2
Full-time
St Mirren
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
This season — Premiership · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 39%
40%
37%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
43%
69%
Both score Ø 50%
46%
54%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 5
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 5. · St Mirren 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 35 27 4 4 +80 85
2 Rangers 35 20 8 7 +33 68
3 Hibernian 35 15 11 9 +14 56
4 Aberdeen 35 15 8 12 -4 53
5 Dundee United 35 14 8 13 -6 50
6 St Mirren 35 13 6 16 -8 45
7 Motherwell 35 13 6 16 -17 45
8 Hearts 35 12 7 16 +0 43
9 Kilmarnock 35 11 8 16 -16 41
10 Dundee 35 10 7 18 -21 37
11 Ross County 36 9 8 19 -28 35
12 ST Johnstone 36 9 5 22 -27 32

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Jan -25 St Mirren – Dundee United 0–1 30. Nov -24 Dundee United – St Mirren 2–0 5. Oct -24 St Mirren – Dundee United 0–1 18. Mar -23 Dundee United – St Mirren 1–1 22. Oct -22 St Mirren – Dundee United 2–1

Match report

Dundee United St Mirren
31′
⚽ M. Mandron 0–1
R. Alebiosu
Half-time 0–1
50′
🟨 Killian Phillips
61′
🔁 S. Tanser
↦ D. John
R. Paton 🔁
↦ K. Trapanovski
64′
66′
⚽ J. Ayunga 0–2
R. Idowu
L. Moult 🔁
↦ R. Docherty
70′
71′
🟨 Richard Taylor
72′
🔁 A. Iacovitti
↦ R. Taylor
76′
🔁 G. Kiltie
↦ R. Idowu
A. Campbell 🔁
↦ C. Sibbald
83′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Dundee United

3-4-3
1 J. Walton G
16 E. Adegboyega D
31 D. Gallagher D
5 V. Ševelj D
2 R. Strain M
23 R. Docherty M
14 C. Sibbald M
11 W. Ferry M
7 K. Trapanovski F
19 S. Dalby F
15 G. Middleton F
Bench (9)
21 R. Paton
9 L. Moult
22 A. Campbell
20 J. van der Sande
37 S. Harding
8 L. Fiorini
10 D. Babunski
18 K. Fotheringham
25 D. Richards

Coach: J. Goodwin

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 Z. Hemming G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
2 R. Alebiosu M
88 K. Phillips M
15 C. Boyd-Munce M
12 R. Idowu M
24 D. John M
9 M. Mandron F
7 J. Ayunga F
Bench (9)
3 S. Tanser
4 A. Iacovitti
11 G. Kiltie
8 O. Smyth
42 E. Bwomono
10 C. McMenamin
27 P. Urminský
14 J. Scott
33 E. Mooney

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
🔒
U
3,53
🔒
B ✓
2,94
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,82
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,96
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.