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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Petersen
Paderborn
T T S U S
2–1
Full-time
Magdeburg
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Magdeburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 43%
44%
41%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
59%
69%
Both score Ø 66%
69%
63%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
21 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paderborn 4. · Magdeburg 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Koln 33 17 7 9 +11 58
2 Hamburg 32 15 11 6 +30 56
3 Elversberg 32 14 10 8 +23 52
4 Paderborn 32 14 10 8 +12 52
5 Magdeburg 32 13 11 8 +11 50
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 32 13 11 8 +5 50
7 Kaiserslautern 32 14 8 10 +4 50
8 Hannover 32 13 10 9 +5 49
9 Karlsruhe 32 13 9 10 -1 48
10 Nurnberg 33 13 6 14 +0 45
11 Hertha 33 12 7 14 -2 43
12 Darmstadt 32 10 9 13 +0 39
13 Schalke 04 32 10 8 14 -7 38
14 Preußen Münster 33 8 11 14 -3 35
15 Greuther Furth 32 9 8 15 -15 35
16 Braunschweig 32 8 11 13 -20 35
17 Ulm 32 6 11 15 -7 29
18 Regensburg 32 6 6 20 -46 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paderborn Magdeburg
13′
ℹ️ Alexander Nollenberger
VAR: Penalty confirmed
15′
M. Kaars 0–1
1–1 C. Brackelmann
S. Michel
41′
45′
🟨 Marcus Mathisen
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 A. Ahl-Holmström
↦ Bryan Teixeira
2–1 F. Götze
M. Mehlem
61′
62′
🔁 M. El Hankouri
↦ S. Gnaka
62′
🔁 F. Michel
↦ M. Mathisen
S. Castañeda 🔁
↦ S. Michel
69′
69′
🔁 T. Müller
↦ P. Pfeiffer
72′
🟨 Alexander Ahl Holmstrom
A. Grimaldi 🔁
↦ F. Bilbija
77′
M. Hoffmeier 🔁
↦ C. Brackelmann
78′
S. Klaas 🔁
↦ M. Mehlem
78′
83′
🔁 P. Hercher
↦ A. Nollenberger
L. Curda 🔁
↦ I. Ansah
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Paderborn

3-5-2
1 M. Riemann G
25 T. Scheller D
20 F. Götze D
4 C. Brackelmann D
23 R. Obermair M
6 M. Mehlem M
22 M. Hansen M
7 F. Bilbija M
32 A. Zehnter M
29 I. Ansah F
11 S. Michel F
Bench (9)
5 S. Castañeda
39 A. Grimaldi
33 M. Hoffmeier
26 S. Klaas
17 L. Curda
46 L. Engelns
19 L. Herrmann
30 M. Schubert
36 F. Platte

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Magdeburg

4-2-3-1
1 D. Reimann G
19 L. Musonda D
3 P. Pfeiffer D
15 D. Heber D
17 A. Nollenberger D
24 J. Hugonet M
16 M. Mathisen M
8 Bryan Teixeira M
25 S. Gnaka M
23 B. Atik M
9 M. Kaars F
Bench (9)
12 A. Ahl-Holmström
11 M. El Hankouri
21 F. Michel
5 T. Müller
27 P. Hercher
2 S. Loric
30 N. Kruth
14 A. El-Zein
20 X. Amaechi

Coach: C. Titz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,05
U
3,80
B
3,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,48
U2,5
2,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Petersen · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.