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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Burda

Hamburg

S T U T S

6–1

Full-time

Ulm

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Ulm

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 33%

47%

19%

Points per game

1,8

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

75%

44%

Both score Ø 61%

66%

56%

Average goals

3,4

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

48% Possession 52%

15 Shots 17

10 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 5

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 2. · Ulm 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Koln	33	17	7	9	+11	58
2	Hamburg	32	15	11	6	+30	56
3	Elversberg	33	15	10	8	+26	55
4	Paderborn	33	15	10	8	+13	55
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	33	14	11	8	+7	53
6	Magdeburg	33	13	11	9	+10	50
7	Kaiserslautern	32	14	8	10	+4	50
8	Hannover	32	13	10	9	+5	49
9	Karlsruhe	32	13	9	10	-1	48
10	Nurnberg	33	13	6	14	+0	45
11	Hertha	33	12	7	14	-2	43
12	Darmstadt	32	10	9	13	+0	39
13	Schalke 04	33	10	8	15	-9	38
14	Preußen Münster	33	8	11	14	-3	35
15	Greuther Furth	32	9	8	15	-15	35
16	Braunschweig	33	8	11	14	-23	35
17	Ulm	32	6	11	15	-7	29
18	Regensburg	32	6	6	20	-46	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elversberg	17	9	3	5	+14	30
2	Hannover	16	8	6	2	+8	30
3	Kaiserslautern	16	8	5	3	+11	29
4	Hamburg	16	7	7	2	+19	28
5	FC Koln	16	8	4	4	+11	28
6	Karlsruhe	16	8	4	4	+4	28
7	Paderborn	17	8	3	6	+7	27
8	Nurnberg	17	8	2	7	+2	26
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	7	5	5	+2	26
10	Darmstadt	16	7	4	5	+7	25
11	Braunschweig	16	6	5	5	-1	23
12	Regensburg	16	6	4	6	-5	22
13	Schalke 04	16	6	3	7	-3	21
14	Greuther Furth	16	5	5	6	-5	20
15	Preußen Münster	17	4	7	6	+0	19
16	Magdeburg	16	4	7	5	-3	19
17	Ulm	16	4	4	8	-1	16
18	Hertha	16	4	4	8	-4	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	17	9	4	4	+13	31
2	FC Koln	17	9	3	5	+0	30
3	Hamburg	16	8	4	4	+11	28
4	Paderborn	16	7	7	2	+6	28
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	7	6	3	+5	27
6	Hertha	17	8	3	6	+2	27
7	Elversberg	16	6	7	3	+12	25
8	Kaiserslautern	16	6	3	7	-7	21
9	Karlsruhe	16	5	5	6	-5	20
10	Nurnberg	16	5	4	7	-2	19
11	Hannover	16	5	4	7	-3	19
12	Schalke 04	17	4	5	8	-6	17
13	Preußen Münster	16	4	4	8	-3	16
14	Greuther Furth	16	4	3	9	-10	15
15	Darmstadt	16	3	5	8	-7	14
16	Ulm	16	2	7	7	-6	13
17	Braunschweig	17	2	6	9	-22	12
18	Regensburg	16	0	2	14	-41	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.