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Pro League

Referee: W Smet

Anderlecht

U S S S T

0–1

Full-time

St. Gilloise

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht St. Gilloise

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

0,8

0,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 60%

56%

63%

Points per game

1,9

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

48%

52%

Both score Ø 41%

37%

44%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,8

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,17 xG 2,03

60% Possession 40%

6 Shots 7

2 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Anderlecht 4. · St. Gilloise 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	27	18	6	3	+37	+36.3	60
2	St. Gilloise	27	17	7	3	+30	+26.0	58
3	Genk	27	17	4	6	+19	+17.4	55
4	Anderlecht	27	15	6	6	+28	+8.6	51
5	Antwerp	26	11	10	5	+14	-2.5	43
6	Charleroi	27	11	8	8	+7	+7.1	41
7	Gent	27	9	8	10	-6	-12.6	35
8	Dender	27	8	9	10	-11	-13.8	33
9	Cercle Brugge	30	8	9	13	-19	-1.6	33
10	Westerlo	28	8	8	12	-1	+0.4	32
11	Standard	28	7	10	11	-15	-12.5	31
12	Mechelen	28	7	9	12	-5	+4.1	30
13	St Truiden	30	7	8	15	-23	-6.5	29
14	Kortrijk	30	8	4	18	-23	-17.2	28
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	27	4	14	9	-7	-6.7	26
16	Beerschot VA	30	4	8	18	-25	-26.4	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	14	11	1	2	+20	+19.5	34
2	Club Brugge	14	10	2	2	+23	+22.8	32
3	Genk	13	10	1	2	+17	+15.2	31
4	Charleroi	14	8	3	3	+11	+7.7	27
5	Anderlecht	13	7	4	2	+18	+6.0	25
6	Cercle Brugge	15	6	5	4	-2	+5.2	23
7	Antwerp	13	6	3	4	+12	+4.0	21
8	St Truiden	15	5	6	4	-2	+1.7	21
9	Westerlo	14	5	5	4	+8	+12.0	20
10	Gent	13	6	2	5	+5	-3.1	20
11	Standard	14	5	4	5	-1	-3.4	19
12	Mechelen	14	4	6	4	+6	+7.5	18
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	3	9	2	+3	+1.2	18
14	Beerschot VA	15	4	6	5	-2	-10.2	18
15	Dender	13	4	5	4	+1	-3.6	17
16	Kortrijk	15	5	2	8	-6	-4.0	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	13	8	4	1	+14	+13.5	28
2	Anderlecht	14	8	2	4	+10	+2.6	26
3	St. Gilloise	13	6	6	1	+10	+6.5	24
4	Genk	14	7	3	4	+2	+2.2	24
5	Antwerp	13	5	7	1	+2	-6.6	22
6	Dender	14	4	4	6	-12	-10.2	16
7	Gent	14	3	6	5	-11	-9.5	15
8	Charleroi	13	3	5	5	-4	-0.6	14
9	Westerlo	14	3	3	8	-9	-11.6	12
10	Mechelen	14	3	3	8	-11	-3.4	12
11	Standard	14	2	6	6	-14	-9.1	12
12	Kortrijk	15	3	2	10	-17	-13.2	11
13	Cercle Brugge	15	2	4	9	-17	-6.8	10
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	1	5	7	-10	-7.9	8
15	St Truiden	15	2	2	11	-21	-8.2	8
16	Beerschot VA	15	0	2	13	-23	-16.2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.