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Premiership

Referee: R Lee

Hearts

T T U T S

3–0

Full-time

Motherwell

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Motherwell

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Premiership · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 36%

34%

37%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

54%

71%

Both score Ø 59%

54%

63%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

8 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 8. · Motherwell 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	35	27	4	4	+80	85
2	Rangers	35	20	8	7	+33	68
3	Hibernian	35	15	11	9	+14	56
4	Aberdeen	35	15	8	12	-4	53
5	Dundee United	35	14	8	13	-6	50
6	St Mirren	35	13	6	16	-8	45
7	Motherwell	35	13	6	16	-17	45
8	Hearts	35	12	7	16	+0	43
9	Kilmarnock	35	11	8	16	-16	41
10	Dundee	35	10	7	18	-21	37
11	Ross County	36	9	8	19	-28	35
12	ST Johnstone	36	9	5	22	-27	32

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	17	15	1	1	+51	46
2	Rangers	17	12	2	3	+26	38
3	Hibernian	18	10	5	3	+16	35
4	Aberdeen	18	10	4	4	+9	34
5	Kilmarnock	17	8	5	4	+7	29
6	St Mirren	19	8	4	7	+3	28
7	Motherwell	17	7	5	5	-3	26
8	Hearts	17	7	3	7	+3	24
9	Dundee United	17	7	3	7	-3	24
10	Ross County	18	5	5	8	-6	20
11	ST Johnstone	18	6	2	10	-9	20
12	Dundee	18	5	4	9	-5	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	18	12	3	3	+29	39
2	Rangers	18	8	6	4	+7	30
3	Dundee United	18	7	5	6	-3	26
4	Hibernian	17	5	6	6	-2	21
5	Hearts	18	5	4	9	-3	19
6	Aberdeen	17	5	4	8	-13	19
7	Motherwell	18	6	1	11	-14	19
8	Dundee	17	5	3	9	-16	18
9	St Mirren	16	5	2	9	-11	17
10	Ross County	18	4	3	11	-22	15
11	ST Johnstone	18	3	3	12	-18	12
12	Kilmarnock	18	3	3	12	-23	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.