La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Celta
Sevilla
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | +58 | +44.7 | 79 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | +36 | +27.8 | 75 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | +29 | +24.3 | 67 |
| 4 |
Ath Bilbao
|
34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | +24 | +15.5 | 61 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | +13 | +18.3 | 58 |
| 6 |
Betis
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | +10 | +10.6 | 57 |
| 7 |
Vallecano
|
35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | -5 | -3.7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Celta
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | +0 | +11.8 | 46 |
| 9 |
Valencia
|
35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | -8 | -6.3 | 45 |
| 10 |
Osasuna
|
34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | -8 | -9.7 | 44 |
| 11 |
Mallorca
|
34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | -8 | -3.1 | 44 |
| 12 |
Sociedad
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -5 | +1.4 | 43 |
| 13 |
Getafe
|
35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | -3 | -7.6 | 39 |
| 14 |
Espanol
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -8 | -21.6 | 39 |
| 15 |
Sevilla
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -9 | -6.4 | 38 |
| 16 |
Girona
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -11 | -3.4 | 38 |
| 17 |
Alaves
|
34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -11 | -4.0 | 35 |
| 18 |
Las Palmas
|
35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -17 | -29.3 | 32 |
| 19 |
Leganes
|
34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -19 | -26.7 | 31 |
| 20 |
Valladolid
|
34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | -58 | -32.7 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Óscar Mingueza
D
Yoel Lago
D
Carlos Domínguez
D
Marcos Alonso
D
Damián Rodríguez
M
Pablo Durán
M
I. Moriba
M
W. Swedberg
M
Hugo Álvarez
M
Iago Aspas
F
Coach: Claudio Giráldez
Ø. Nyland
G
Ramón Martínez
D
L. Badé
D
N. Gudelj
D
Kike Salas
D
Juanlu Sánchez
M
L. Agoumé
M
Adrià Pedrosa
M
D. Lukébakio
F
Peque Fernández
F
Coach: Joaquín Caparrós
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Real Madrid
Celta
Celta
Villarreal
Barcelona
Celta
Celta
Espanol
Mallorca
Celta
Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.