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Eredivisie

Referee: Bjorn Kuipers

Ajax

S S S S S

0–2

Full-time

Willem II

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,8

3,2

Scored

3,8

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,8

+0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 70%

87%

53%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

80%

53%

Both score Ø 57%

60%

53%

Average goals

4,3

2,9

Scored

3,5

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%

29 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 4

12 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

12 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · Willem II 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	13	2	0	+40	41
2	AZ Alkmaar	15	11	2	2	+27	35
3	PSV Eindhoven	15	8	4	3	+13	28
4	Willem II	15	8	2	5	+2	26
5	Heracles	15	7	3	5	+7	24
6	Heerenveen	15	6	6	3	+6	24
7	Feyenoord	15	6	6	3	+2	24
8	Utrecht	15	7	2	6	+6	23
9	Vitesse	15	7	2	6	+2	23
10	Groningen	15	6	3	6	+2	21
11	Sparta Rotterdam	15	5	4	6	-4	19
12	Twente	15	5	3	7	-5	18
13	FC Emmen	15	4	3	8	-12	15
14	For Sittard	15	4	3	8	-15	15
15	Zwolle	15	4	1	10	-12	13
16	VVV Venlo	15	4	0	11	-25	12
17	Den Haag	15	3	2	10	-13	11
18	Waalwijk	15	2	2	11	-21	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	7	0	0	+26	21
2	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	+15	19
3	Heracles	8	5	1	2	+12	16
4	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	+9	16
5	Willem II	8	5	1	2	+5	16
6	Utrecht	8	5	0	3	+10	15
7	Feyenoord	8	4	3	1	+4	15
8	For Sittard	8	4	2	2	+5	14
9	FC Emmen	8	4	2	2	+4	14
10	Heerenveen	8	3	5	0	+3	14
11	Sparta Rotterdam	7	4	1	2	+6	13
12	Groningen	7	4	1	2	+6	13
13	Vitesse	7	4	1	2	+4	13
14	Twente	8	3	2	3	+1	11
15	Zwolle	7	3	1	3	+0	10
16	VVV Venlo	7	3	0	4	-9	9
17	Den Haag	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	Waalwijk	7	1	1	5	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	2	0	+14	20
2	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	1	1	+12	16
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	3	3	2	+4	12
4	Heerenveen	7	3	1	3	+3	10
5	Vitesse	8	3	1	4	-2	10
6	Willem II	7	3	1	3	-3	10
7	Feyenoord	7	2	3	2	-2	9
8	Utrecht	7	2	2	3	-4	8
9	Groningen	8	2	2	4	-4	8
10	Heracles	7	2	2	3	-5	8
11	Twente	7	2	1	4	-6	7
12	Den Haag	8	2	0	6	-8	6
13	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	-10	6
14	Waalwijk	8	1	1	6	-14	4
15	Zwolle	8	1	0	7	-12	3
16	VVV Venlo	8	1	0	7	-16	3
17	FC Emmen	7	0	1	6	-16	1
18	For Sittard	7	0	1	6	-20	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.