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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

Ajax

T S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Willem II

U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

2,8

1,7

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 50%

80%

20%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

70%

60%

Both score Ø 35%

10%

60%

Average goals

3,2

3,6

Scored

2,8

1,7

Conceded

0,4

1,9

Goal diff per game

+2,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%

21 Shots 3

10 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 1

5 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 2. · Willem II 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	11	0	0	+35	33
2	Ajax	10	8	1	1	+24	25
3	Feyenoord	10	6	2	2	+7	20
4	Heracles	11	6	2	3	+3	20
5	VVV Venlo	10	4	3	3	+1	15
6	Utrecht	10	4	3	3	-1	15
7	Heerenveen	10	3	4	3	-1	13
8	AZ Alkmaar	10	3	3	4	+2	12
9	Vitesse	10	3	3	4	-1	12
10	Excelsior	11	3	3	5	-7	12
11	Den Haag	10	3	3	4	-7	12
12	Zwolle	10	3	2	5	-5	11
13	Willem II	10	2	4	4	-2	10
14	For Sittard	10	2	4	4	-3	10
15	De Graafschap	10	3	1	6	-10	10
16	FC Emmen	10	2	3	5	-14	9
17	NAC Breda	11	2	2	7	-12	8
18	Groningen	10	2	1	7	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+23	18
2	Heracles	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+10	15
4	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+16	13
5	Utrecht	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	De Graafschap	6	3	0	3	-1	9
7	Excelsior	6	2	2	2	-1	8
8	VVV Venlo	4	2	1	1	+4	7
9	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	NAC Breda	6	2	1	3	-1	7
11	Den Haag	5	2	1	2	-5	7
12	AZ Alkmaar	5	1	3	1	+4	6
13	Willem II	5	1	2	2	+3	5
14	For Sittard	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	FC Emmen	5	0	3	2	-4	3
17	Heerenveen	5	0	2	3	-8	2
18	Groningen	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+12	15
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+8	12
3	Heerenveen	5	3	2	0	+7	11
4	VVV Venlo	6	2	2	2	-3	8
5	Zwolle	5	2	1	2	-3	7
6	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	0	3	-2	6
7	Groningen	5	2	0	3	-4	6
8	FC Emmen	5	2	0	3	-10	6
9	For Sittard	5	1	2	2	-2	5
10	Den Haag	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Vitesse	6	1	2	3	-2	5
12	Feyenoord	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Willem II	5	1	2	2	-5	5
15	Heracles	6	1	2	3	-8	5
16	Excelsior	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	De Graafschap	4	0	1	3	-9	1
18	NAC Breda	5	0	1	4	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.