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Eredivisie

Referee: Bas Nijhuis

Ajax

S S S S S

4–0

Full-time

Utrecht

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,2

Scored

3,2

2,5

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+1,8

This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 71%

83%

58%

Points per game

2,7

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

75%

Both score Ø 67%

58%

75%

Average goals

4,0

3,5

Scored

3,3

2,3

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

71% Possession 29%

22 Shots 4

15 Shots on target 0

1 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 11

9 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · Utrecht 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	10	2	0	+30	32
2	AZ Alkmaar	12	8	2	2	+20	26
3	PSV Eindhoven	12	7	3	2	+13	24
4	Utrecht	12	7	2	3	+14	23
5	Vitesse	13	7	2	4	+5	23
6	Heracles	13	6	3	4	+6	21
7	Heerenveen	13	5	6	2	+6	21
8	Groningen	13	6	2	5	+3	20
9	Willem II	12	6	1	5	-3	19
10	Feyenoord	12	4	5	3	+0	17
11	Sparta Rotterdam	13	4	4	5	-2	16
12	Twente	12	4	3	5	-2	15
13	FC Emmen	12	4	1	7	-9	13
14	For Sittard	13	3	3	7	-14	12
15	Den Haag	13	3	1	9	-9	10
16	Zwolle	12	3	1	8	-12	10
17	VVV Venlo	13	3	0	10	-25	9
18	Waalwijk	12	1	1	10	-21	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	5	0	0	+19	15
2	Utrecht	6	5	0	1	+14	15
3	AZ Alkmaar	6	4	1	1	+11	13
4	Heracles	7	4	1	2	+8	13
5	PSV Eindhoven	6	4	1	1	+8	13
6	Vitesse	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	FC Emmen	7	4	1	2	+4	13
8	Groningen	6	4	0	2	+6	12
9	For Sittard	7	3	2	2	+4	11
10	Heerenveen	7	2	5	0	+2	11
11	Sparta Rotterdam	6	3	1	2	+4	10
12	Willem II	6	3	1	2	+0	10
13	Feyenoord	6	2	3	1	+2	9
14	Twente	6	2	2	2	+3	8
15	Zwolle	6	2	1	3	-2	7
16	VVV Venlo	6	2	0	4	-10	6
17	Den Haag	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Waalwijk	6	1	0	5	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	AZ Alkmaar	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	PSV Eindhoven	6	3	2	1	+5	11
4	Heerenveen	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Willem II	6	3	0	3	-3	9
7	Utrecht	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Feyenoord	6	2	2	2	-2	8
9	Heracles	6	2	2	2	-2	8
10	Groningen	7	2	2	3	-3	8
11	Twente	6	2	1	3	-5	7
12	Den Haag	7	2	0	5	-4	6
13	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	3	3	-6	6
14	Zwolle	6	1	0	5	-10	3
15	VVV Venlo	7	1	0	6	-15	3
16	Waalwijk	6	0	1	5	-14	1
17	For Sittard	6	0	1	5	-18	1
18	FC Emmen	5	0	0	5	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.