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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

Ajax

S S S S S

4–1

Full-time

Heracles

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

3,0

2,2

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 66%

85%

46%

Points per game

2,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

77%

46%

Both score Ø 54%

54%

Average goals

4,0

3,2

Scored

3,3

1,8

Conceded

0,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+2,6

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

25 Shots 10

10 Shots on target 7

10 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 2

3 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · Heracles 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	11	2	0	+34	35
2	AZ Alkmaar	14	10	2	2	+26	32
3	PSV Eindhoven	13	7	3	3	+12	24
4	Utrecht	14	7	2	5	+7	23
5	Vitesse	13	7	2	4	+5	23
6	Willem II	13	7	1	5	-2	22
7	Heracles	13	6	3	4	+6	21
8	Heerenveen	13	5	6	2	+6	21
9	Groningen	13	6	2	5	+3	20
10	Feyenoord	13	5	5	3	+1	20
11	Twente	13	5	3	5	-1	18
12	Sparta Rotterdam	13	4	4	5	-2	16
13	FC Emmen	13	4	1	8	-12	13
14	For Sittard	13	3	3	7	-14	12
15	Den Haag	13	3	1	9	-9	10
16	Zwolle	13	3	1	9	-13	10
17	VVV Venlo	13	3	0	10	-25	9
18	Waalwijk	13	1	1	11	-22	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	6	0	0	+23	18
2	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	1	1	+14	16
3	Utrecht	7	5	0	2	+11	15
4	Heracles	7	4	1	2	+8	13
5	PSV Eindhoven	6	4	1	1	+8	13
6	Vitesse	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	FC Emmen	7	4	1	2	+4	13
8	Willem II	7	4	1	2	+1	13
9	Groningen	6	4	0	2	+6	12
10	Feyenoord	7	3	3	1	+3	12
11	Twente	7	3	2	2	+4	11
12	For Sittard	7	3	2	2	+4	11
13	Heerenveen	7	2	5	0	+2	11
14	Sparta Rotterdam	6	3	1	2	+4	10
15	Zwolle	6	2	1	3	-2	7
16	VVV Venlo	6	2	0	4	-10	6
17	Den Haag	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Waalwijk	6	1	0	5	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	1	1	+12	16
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	3	2	2	+4	11
4	Heerenveen	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Willem II	6	3	0	3	-3	9
7	Feyenoord	6	2	2	2	-2	8
8	Heracles	6	2	2	2	-2	8
9	Groningen	7	2	2	3	-3	8
10	Utrecht	7	2	2	3	-4	8
11	Twente	6	2	1	3	-5	7
12	Den Haag	7	2	0	5	-4	6
13	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	3	3	-6	6
14	Zwolle	7	1	0	6	-11	3
15	VVV Venlo	7	1	0	6	-15	3
16	Waalwijk	7	0	1	6	-15	1
17	For Sittard	6	0	1	5	-18	1
18	FC Emmen	6	0	0	6	-16	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.