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Eredivisie
Referee: Richard Martens
Waalwijk
T T T S T
1–1
Full-time
FC Emmen
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk FC Emmen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 20%
8%
31%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 81%
85%
77%
Both score Ø 58%
62%
54%
Average goals
3,8
3,4
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
2,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
19 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 0
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waalwijk 18. · FC Emmen 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 14 12 2 0 +37 38
2 AZ Alkmaar 14 10 2 2 +26 32
3 PSV Eindhoven 13 7 3 3 +12 24
4 Utrecht 14 7 2 5 +7 23
5 Vitesse 13 7 2 4 +5 23
6 Willem II 14 7 2 5 -2 23
7 Heerenveen 13 5 6 2 +6 21
8 Heracles 14 6 3 5 +3 21
9 Groningen 14 6 3 5 +3 21
10 Feyenoord 14 5 6 3 +1 21
11 Twente 13 5 3 5 -1 18
12 Sparta Rotterdam 13 4 4 5 -2 16
13 Zwolle 14 4 1 9 -11 13
14 FC Emmen 13 4 1 8 -12 13
15 For Sittard 14 3 3 8 -16 12
16 Den Haag 14 3 2 9 -9 11
17 VVV Venlo 13 3 0 10 -25 9
18 Waalwijk 13 1 1 11 -22 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk FC Emmen
15′
M. de Leeuw 0–1
M. Kolar
Half-time 0–1
Hans Mulder 🟨
54′
A. Tahiri 🔁
↦ K. Vermeulen
56′
L. Daneels 🔁
↦ D. Maatsen
63′
72′
🔁 J. Arias
↦ M. Kolar
75′
🔁 R. Roosken
↦ M. de Leeuw
Hans Mulder 🟨
76′
Hans Mulder 🟥
76′
M. Bilate 🔁
↦ D. Rienstra
79′
Etienne Vaessen 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Jafar Arias
92′
🔁 L. Slagveer
↦ R. de Vos
1–1 S. Sow
H. Delcroix
96′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Waalwijk

4-3-3
1 E. Vaessen G
2 J. Gaari D
4 H. Delcroix D
12 H. Mulder
6 D. Rienstra M
20 K. Vermeulen M
23 C. Leemans M
28 S. Bakari D
11 D. Maatsen F
24 D. Vente
19 S. Sow F
Bench (9)
8 A. Tahiri
21 L. Daneels
9 M. Bilate
15 L. Nieuwpoort
22 M. Grim
29 F. Sporkslede
16 I. van Weert
3 M. Meulensteen
13 K. Heemskerk

Coach: F. Grim

FC Emmen

4-2-3-1
26 D. Telgenkamp G
28 L. Burnet D
2 M. Heylen D
3 K. Veendorp D
23 G. Bijl D
15 T. Hiariej M
8 M. de Leeuw M
17 S. Peña M
32 R. de Vos M
21 F. Ugrinic M
9 M. Kolar F
Bench (11)
25 J. Arias
18 R. Roosken
29 L. Slagveer
5 M. Araujo
10 S. Tarashaj
16 R. Jalving
93 S. van der Lei
27 L. Sopić
14 F. Görgülü
39 J. Beste
12 F. Quispel

Coach: D. Lukkien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,31
U ✓
3,77
B
2,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,51
U2,5 ✓
2,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Richard Martens · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.