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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
Twente
T U U S T
2–0
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 22/21 matches
Win Ø 49%
27%
71%
Points per game
1,1
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
64%
67%
Both score Ø 44%
59%
29%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 13. · AZ Alkmaar 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 21 16 2 3 +43 50
2 AZ Alkmaar 21 15 2 4 +31 47
3 Feyenoord 21 11 7 3 +11 40
4 Willem II 22 12 4 6 +5 40
5 PSV Eindhoven 22 11 6 5 +21 39
6 Vitesse 22 10 5 7 +9 35
7 Utrecht 21 10 4 7 +12 34
8 Groningen 22 9 5 8 +4 32
9 Heracles 23 8 5 10 +3 29
10 Heerenveen 22 7 8 7 +3 29
11 Sparta Rotterdam 22 7 6 9 -4 27
12 FC Emmen 22 7 4 11 -14 25
13 Twente 22 6 6 10 -11 24
14 VVV Venlo 23 7 3 13 -25 24
15 For Sittard 22 6 5 11 -22 23
16 Zwolle 22 6 4 12 -16 22
17 Den Haag 22 4 5 13 -22 17
18 Waalwijk 22 3 3 16 -28 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente AZ Alkmaar
1–0 G. Aburjania
25′
2–0 Q. Menig
30′
37′
🔁 Y. Sugawara
↦ S. Wuytens
38′
🟨 Oussama Idrissi
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 F. Druijf
↦ O. Idrissi
Oriol Busquets 🟨
65′
79′
🔁 Z. Aboukhlal
↦ J. Svensson
R. Zekhnini 🔁
↦ Q. Menig
88′
J. Bosch 🔁
↦ L. Selahi
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
25 P. Bijen D
4 C. Verdonk D
5 Julio Pleguezuelo D
28 G. Troupée D
10 H. Vučkič F
21 G. Aburjania M
20 Oriol Busquets M
27 N. Lang F
18 L. Selahi M
11 Q. Menig F
Bench (12)
14 R. Zekhnini
32 J. Bosch
13 K. Nakamura
19 J. Latibeaudiere
22 J. de Lange
26 J. Brondeel
17 T. Hölscher
2 P. Verhaegh
3 X. Schenk
9 E. Berggreen
6 W. Brama
29 G. Roemeratoe

Coach: Gonzalo García

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
27 R. Leeuwin D
30 S. Wuytens D
2 J. Svensson D
15 O. Wijndal D
20 J. Clasie M
10 D. de Wit M
8 T. Koopmeiners M
11 O. Idrissi F
9 M. Boadu F
7 C. Stengs F
Bench (9)
26 Y. Sugawara
14 F. Druijf
17 Z. Aboukhlal
18 H. Evjen
16 J. Schendelaar
29 J. Kramer
5 T. Ouwejan
22 R. de Boer
21 K. Goudmijn

Coach: A. Slot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
6,03
U
4,56
B
1,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,33
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.