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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
Twente
T S S T U
1–0
Full-time
Heerenveen
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 22/20 matches
Win Ø 41%
36%
45%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
50%
70%
Both score Ø 67%
68%
65%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 20
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 7. · Heerenveen 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 22 18 3 1 +46 57
2 Ajax 22 16 4 2 +32 52
3 PSV Eindhoven 22 14 7 1 +26 49
4 Vitesse 22 9 6 7 +5 33
5 Heerenveen 20 9 5 6 +12 32
6 AZ Alkmaar 20 8 8 4 +7 32
7 Twente 22 8 7 7 +1 31
8 Utrecht 19 8 6 5 +3 30
9 Heracles 22 6 7 9 -7 25
10 Willem II 22 6 7 9 -8 25
11 Nijmegen 22 6 7 9 -14 25
12 Groningen 21 5 8 8 -3 23
13 Zwolle 22 6 5 11 -20 23
14 Roda 23 3 11 9 -14 20
15 Excelsior 22 4 7 11 -15 19
16 Go Ahead Eagles 23 5 4 14 -16 19
17 Sparta Rotterdam 22 4 6 12 -12 18
18 Den Haag 22 5 2 15 -23 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Sep -16 Heerenveen – Twente 3–1 6. Feb -16 Heerenveen – Twente 1–3 7. Nov -15 Twente – Heerenveen 1–4

Match report

Twente Heerenveen
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Erwin Mulder
1–0 M. Klich ⚽
54′
60′
🟨 Pelle van Amersfoort
C. Ede 🔁
↦ D. Seys
63′
D. Trajkovski 🔁
↦ J. van der Lely
64′
77′
🔁 H. Veerman
↦ Y. Namli
P. Bijen 🔁
↦ B. Celina
81′
84′
🔁 M. Ødegaard
↦ P. van Amersfoort
Mateusz Klich 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Doke Schmidt
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
1 N. Marsman G
5 S. Thesker D
3 J. Andersen D
2 H. ter Avest D
28 J. van der Lely D
43 M. Klich M
22 K. Mokotjo M
19 F. Jensen M
10 B. Celina M
17 E. Ünal F
11 D. Seys M
Bench (10)
7 C. Ede
6 D. Trajkovski
25 P. Bijen
4 J. Hooiveld
13 N. Hengelman
14 Y. Yeboah
16 J. Drommel
23 J. van der Heyden
27 E. Bunjaki
30 D. George

Coach: R. Hake

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 E. Mulder G
2 S. Marzo D
12 D. Schmidt D
4 J. van Aken D
21 Y. Kobayashi M
8 M. Thorsby M
18 Y. Namli F
9 R. Ghoochannejhad F
11 S. Larsson F
13 A. Zeneli F
19 P. van Amersfoort M
Bench (9)
20 H. Veerman
17 M. Ødegaard
7 L. Slagveer
25 W. Huizing
31 J. Bekkema
33 W. van der Steen
37 M. Vlap
39 K. Pierie
32 J. Voest

Coach: J. Streppel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.