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Eredivisie

Referee: C Bax

Willem II

T T S T T

1–3

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 11/10 matches

Win Ø 24%

18%

30%

Points per game

0,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

64%

50%

Both score Ø 43%

45%

40%

Average goals

2,9

3,4

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

1,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

54% Possession 46%

8 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 9

1 Blocked shots 7

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 16. · Sparta Rotterdam 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	10	0	2	+40	30
2	Vitesse	12	8	2	2	+13	26
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	3	1	+15	24
4	Groningen	12	7	2	3	+3	23
5	Feyenoord	9	6	3	0	+12	21
6	Twente	11	6	3	2	+11	21
7	Heerenveen	12	5	5	2	+5	20
8	AZ Alkmaar	10	4	5	1	+7	17
9	Zwolle	12	2	6	4	-8	12
10	Waalwijk	12	3	3	6	-9	12
11	Sparta Rotterdam	10	3	2	5	-2	11
12	Utrecht	9	2	5	2	-3	11
13	Heracles	12	2	3	7	-11	9
14	For Sittard	12	2	3	7	-13	9
15	VVV Venlo	11	2	3	6	-15	9
16	Willem II	11	2	2	7	-10	8
17	Den Haag	12	1	4	7	-18	7
18	FC Emmen	12	0	4	8	-17	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+19	18
2	Vitesse	6	5	1	0	+10	16
3	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+11	15
4	Groningen	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	Twente	6	3	2	1	+6	11
6	Heerenveen	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	Feyenoord	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Sparta Rotterdam	6	2	2	2	+3	8
9	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Zwolle	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Utrecht	5	2	2	1	+0	8
12	Heracles	6	2	1	3	+2	7
13	Waalwijk	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Willem II	5	2	0	3	-3	6
15	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	VVV Venlo	5	1	2	2	-13	5
17	FC Emmen	6	0	3	3	-8	3
18	Den Haag	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+21	12
3	Twente	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	Heerenveen	7	2	4	1	+1	10
6	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	3	0	+4	9
7	PSV Eindhoven	6	2	3	1	+4	9
8	Groningen	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Waalwijk	6	2	0	4	-7	6
10	Den Haag	7	1	2	4	-13	5
11	VVV Venlo	6	1	1	4	-2	4
12	Zwolle	6	0	4	2	-8	4
13	For Sittard	6	1	1	4	-8	4
14	Utrecht	4	0	3	1	-3	3
15	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Willem II	6	0	2	4	-7	2
17	Heracles	6	0	2	4	-13	2
18	FC Emmen	6	0	1	5	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.