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Eredivisie

Referee: D Makkelie

Sparta Rotterdam

S S T S S

2–3

Full-time

Groningen

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Groningen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 47%

36%

58%

Points per game

1,3

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

55%

42%

Both score Ø 48%

45%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%

15 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 6

4 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 9. · Groningen 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	10	0	2	+40	30
2	PSV Eindhoven	12	8	3	1	+16	27
3	Vitesse	12	8	2	2	+13	26
4	Feyenoord	10	7	3	0	+15	24
5	Groningen	12	7	2	3	+3	23
6	Twente	12	6	3	3	+9	21
7	AZ Alkmaar	11	5	5	1	+9	20
8	Heerenveen	12	5	5	2	+5	20
9	Sparta Rotterdam	11	4	2	5	+0	14
10	Zwolle	13	2	7	4	-8	13
11	Waalwijk	12	3	3	6	-9	12
12	Utrecht	10	2	5	3	-4	11
13	Heracles	12	2	3	7	-11	9
14	For Sittard	12	2	3	7	-13	9
15	VVV Venlo	12	2	3	7	-18	9
16	Willem II	12	2	2	8	-12	8
17	Den Haag	12	1	4	7	-18	7
18	FC Emmen	13	0	5	8	-17	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+19	18
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+12	18
3	Vitesse	6	5	1	0	+10	16
4	Groningen	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	Twente	7	3	2	2	+4	11
6	Heerenveen	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	Zwolle	7	2	3	2	+0	9
8	Feyenoord	4	2	2	0	+4	8
9	Sparta Rotterdam	6	2	2	2	+3	8
10	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	2	1	+3	8
11	Utrecht	5	2	2	1	+0	8
12	Heracles	6	2	1	3	+2	7
13	Waalwijk	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Willem II	6	2	0	4	-5	6
15	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	VVV Venlo	6	1	2	3	-16	5
17	FC Emmen	6	0	3	3	-8	3
18	Den Haag	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+21	12
3	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	3	0	+6	12
4	Twente	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Heerenveen	7	2	4	1	+1	10
7	PSV Eindhoven	6	2	3	1	+4	9
8	Groningen	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	0	3	-3	6
10	Waalwijk	6	2	0	4	-7	6
11	Den Haag	7	1	2	4	-13	5
12	VVV Venlo	6	1	1	4	-2	4
13	Zwolle	6	0	4	2	-8	4
14	For Sittard	6	1	1	4	-8	4
15	Utrecht	5	0	3	2	-4	3
16	Willem II	6	0	2	4	-7	2
17	FC Emmen	7	0	2	5	-9	2
18	Heracles	6	0	2	4	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.