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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
Utrecht
T S T S S
1–2
Full-time
Feyenoord
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 25/26 matches
Win Ø 49%
44%
54%
Points per game
1,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
52%
54%
Both score Ø 55%
64%
46%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,6
2,1
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
12 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 7. · Feyenoord 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 27 22 3 2 +65 69
2 AZ Alkmaar 29 18 7 4 +28 61
3 PSV Eindhoven 28 17 7 4 +32 58
4 Vitesse 29 17 5 7 +18 56
5 Feyenoord 26 14 7 5 +28 49
6 Groningen 27 13 6 8 +4 45
7 Utrecht 25 11 8 6 +10 41
8 Heracles 29 11 6 12 -8 39
9 Twente 29 9 10 10 +2 37
10 Heerenveen 28 8 10 10 -3 34
11 For Sittard 29 10 4 15 -12 34
12 Sparta Rotterdam 28 9 6 13 -6 33
13 Zwolle 29 7 11 11 -8 32
14 Waalwijk 28 6 8 14 -16 26
15 Willem II 29 5 7 17 -30 22
16 VVV Venlo 28 6 4 18 -34 22
17 FC Emmen 29 4 9 16 -28 21
18 Den Haag 29 2 10 17 -42 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Feyenoord
0–1 L. Fer ⚽
own goal
13′
27′
⚽ S. Gustafson 1–1
own goal
35′
🟨 Eric Botteghin
Half-time 1–1
G. Troupée 🔁
↦ D. Warmerdam
46′
46′
🔁 L. Sinisterra
↦ Eric Botteghin
57′
⚽ S. Berghuis 1–2
L. Sinisterra
58′
🔁 João Carlos Teixeira
↦ L. Fer
M. Sylla 🔁
↦ S. Gustafson
65′
Adrián Dalmau 🔁
↦ J. van Overeem
65′
E. Elia 🔁
↦ H. ter Avest
76′
93′
🔁 N. Marsman
↦ J. Bijlow
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-3
32 E. Oelschlägel G
14 W. Janssen D
2 M. van der Maarel D
21 D. Warmerdam D
5 H. ter Avest D
6 A. Maher M
8 J. van Overeem M
22 S. van de Streek F
10 S. Gustafson M
7 G. Kerk F
26 O. Boussaid F
Bench (10)
20 G. Troupée
29 M. Sylla
9 Adrián Dalmau
11 E. Elia
24 O. Velanas
28 U. Emanuelson
38 D. van den Berg
16 T. Nijhuis
1 M. Paes
17 B. Benamar

Coach: R. Hake

Feyenoord

5-3-2
1 J. Bijlow G
33 Eric Botteghin D
25 U. Spajić D
15 T. Malacia D
4 M. Senesi D
22 L. Geertruida D
8 L. Fer M
28 J. Toornstra M
6 M. Diemers M
11 B. Linssen F
10 S. Berghuis F
Bench (9)
17 L. Sinisterra
20 João Carlos Teixeira
21 N. Marsman
24 L. Pratto
5 R. Haps
43 A. El Bouchataoui
30 R. ten Hove
19 R. Boženík
18 A. Balde

Coach: D. Advocaat

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
U
3,62
B ✓
2,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,25
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.