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Eredivisie
Referee: C Bax
Utrecht
S S U S S
0–1
Full-time
FC Emmen
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht FC Emmen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
2,7
0,5
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 20/23 matches
Win Ø 22%
40%
4%
Points per game
1,6
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 61%
65%
57%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
1,7
0,9
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 8. · FC Emmen 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 22 18 2 2 +55 56
2 PSV Eindhoven 23 15 5 3 +29 50
3 AZ Alkmaar 23 13 7 3 +19 46
4 Vitesse 23 13 3 7 +11 42
5 Feyenoord 21 12 5 4 +22 41
6 Groningen 22 11 5 6 +6 38
7 Twente 23 9 7 7 +7 34
8 Utrecht 20 8 8 4 +8 32
9 For Sittard 23 9 4 10 -6 31
10 Heerenveen 24 7 9 8 -3 30
11 Heracles 23 8 4 11 -11 28
12 Zwolle 24 5 11 8 -6 26
13 Sparta Rotterdam 21 6 4 11 -6 22
14 Waalwijk 23 5 7 11 -13 22
15 VVV Venlo 22 6 4 12 -20 22
16 Willem II 23 3 5 15 -29 14
17 Den Haag 23 2 8 13 -30 14
18 FC Emmen 23 1 6 16 -33 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht FC Emmen
14′
S. Peña 0–1
Othman Boussaid 🟨
18′
Adam Maher 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–1
M. Mahi 🔁
↦ J. van Overeem
46′
M. Sylla 🔁
↦ O. Boussaid
46′
Sander van de Streek 🟨
54′
64′
🟨 Kerim Frei
M. van der Maarel 🔁
↦ H. ter Avest
76′
U. Emanuelson 🔁
↦ W. Janssen
76′
76′
🔁 N. Laursen
↦ L. Adžić
E. Bergström 🔁
↦ A. Maher
81′
Mark van der Maarel 🟨
83′
84′
🔁 P. Gladon
↦ S. Peña
86′
🟨 Michael De Leeuw
89′
🟨 Miguel Araujo
Gyrano Kerk 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Keziah Veendorp
91′
🔁 K. Veendorp
↦ C. Cavlan
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-4-2
32 E. Oelschlägel G
14 W. Janssen D
21 D. Warmerdam D
5 H. ter Avest D
25 T. St. Jago D
6 A. Maher M
8 J. van Overeem M
22 S. van de Streek F
23 B. Ramselaar M
7 G. Kerk F
26 O. Boussaid M
Bench (9)
19 M. Mahi
29 M. Sylla
2 M. van der Maarel
28 U. Emanuelson
13 E. Bergström
24 O. Velanas
16 T. Nijhuis
1 M. Paes
17 B. Benamar

Coach: R. Hake

FC Emmen

4-2-3-1
28 M. Verrips G
22 C. Cavlan D
5 M. Araujo D
4 N. Bakker D
23 G. Bijl D
31 K. Frei M
21 H. Ben Moussa M
10 S. Peña M
77 L. Adžić M
20 J. Vlak M
8 M. de Leeuw F
Bench (12)
11 N. Laursen
17 P. Gladon
3 K. Veendorp
26 D. Telgenkamp
32 R. de Vos
7 S. Tibbling
93 S. van der Lei
15 D. La Torre
14 F. Görgülü
9 M. Kolar
35 J. Rhyner
34 R. van Rhijn

Coach: D. Lukkien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,26
U
5,87
B ✓
10,05
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,46
U2,5 ✓
2,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.