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Eredivisie
Referee: Bas Nijhuis
Heerenveen
S T S T T
1–1
Full-time
Groningen
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,3
1,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 29/27 matches
Win Ø 36%
31%
41%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
69%
41%
Both score Ø 53%
69%
37%
Average goals
4,2
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,1
Conceded
2,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
16 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 10. · Groningen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 30 24 2 4 +78 74
2 PSV Eindhoven 30 23 5 2 +66 74
3 Feyenoord 30 17 5 8 +28 56
4 AZ Alkmaar 30 15 7 8 +22 52
5 Heracles 28 14 3 11 +2 45
6 Utrecht 26 11 7 8 +6 40
7 Willem II 29 12 4 13 -8 40
8 Groningen 27 11 5 11 +1 38
9 Vitesse 26 9 10 7 +7 37
10 Heerenveen 29 9 9 11 -7 36
11 Den Haag 30 9 9 12 -11 36
12 Zwolle 29 10 5 14 -7 35
13 VVV Venlo 30 9 7 14 -19 34
14 For Sittard 30 8 7 15 -24 31
15 FC Emmen 30 7 8 15 -34 29
16 De Graafschap 30 7 5 18 -27 26
17 Excelsior 30 7 5 18 -34 26
18 NAC Breda 30 5 7 18 -39 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen Groningen
11′
🟨 Deyovaisio Zeefuik
1–0 P. van Amersfoort
L. Woudenberg
38′
Half-time 1–0
52′
🔁 P. Gladon
↦ R. Doan
Doke Schmidt 🟨
57′
Yuki Kobayashi 🟨
59′
59′
🔁 T. Bruns
↦ M. El Hankouri
61′
P. Gladon 1–1
I. Bel Hassani
R. Kongolo 🔁
↦ Y. Kobayashi
79′
D. Johnsen 🔁
↦ M. van Bergen
84′
J. Hornkamp 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
87′
87′
🔁 M. Breij
↦ K. Sierhuis
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 W. Hahn G
3 D. Høegh D
12 D. Schmidt D
16 L. Woudenberg D
5 K. Pierie D
21 Y. Kobayashi M
10 B. Rienstra M
8 M. Thorsby M
19 P. van Amersfoort M
18 M. Vlap M
11 M. van Bergen F
Bench (9)
15 R. Kongolo
17 D. Johnsen
35 J. Hornkamp
7 N. Mihajlović
14 I. Dresevic
24 T. Doornbusch
23 F. Bednarek
2 S. Floranus
4 A. Skovgaard

Coach: J. Jansen

Groningen

4-4-2
1 S. Padt G
4 M. te Wierik D
5 S. Memišević D
42 D. Zeefuik D
29 T. Handwerker D
24 J. Chabot D
8 I. Bel Hassani M
7 R. Doan M
6 L. Reis M
9 K. Sierhuis F
14 M. El Hankouri F
Bench (10)
19 P. Gladon
15 T. Bruns
22 M. Breij
17 K. Itakura
31 J. Hoekstra
20 A. Absalem
12 L. Kramer
58 D. van Kaam
45 P. Boevink
36 T. van de Looi

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bas Nijhuis · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.