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Eredivisie

Referee: P van Boekel

Ajax

S S S S U

2–0

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

2,3

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,5

This season — Eredivisie · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 71%

79%

62%

Points per game

2,5

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

69%

72%

Both score Ø 61%

52%

69%

Average goals

3,7

3,6

Scored

3,0

2,3

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

21 Shots 8

10 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

9 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · AZ Alkmaar 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	29	23	4	2	+66	73
2	PSV Eindhoven	30	19	7	4	+35	64
3	AZ Alkmaar	29	18	7	4	+28	61
4	Vitesse	29	17	5	7	+18	56
5	Feyenoord	27	15	7	5	+29	52
6	Groningen	29	13	6	10	+1	45
7	Utrecht	27	11	9	7	+9	42
8	Heracles	30	11	6	13	-10	39
9	Twente	29	9	10	10	+2	37
10	Heerenveen	30	9	10	11	-3	37
11	Sparta Rotterdam	29	10	6	13	-4	36
12	Zwolle	30	8	11	11	-6	35
13	For Sittard	29	10	4	15	-12	34
14	Waalwijk	30	6	8	16	-18	26
15	Willem II	30	6	7	17	-29	25
16	FC Emmen	30	5	9	16	-26	24
17	VVV Venlo	30	6	4	20	-38	22
18	Den Haag	29	2	10	17	-42	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	12	2	1	+24	38
2	Ajax	14	11	2	1	+31	35
3	Vitesse	15	10	4	1	+15	34
4	AZ Alkmaar	15	10	2	3	+15	32
5	Feyenoord	12	8	3	1	+22	27
6	Groningen	15	7	5	3	+5	26
7	Heracles	15	7	3	5	+9	24
8	Heerenveen	15	6	4	5	+5	22
9	Zwolle	15	5	6	4	+1	21
10	Utrecht	14	5	5	4	+1	20
11	Sparta Rotterdam	15	5	3	7	+0	18
12	Willem II	15	5	2	8	-10	17
13	Waalwijk	15	4	4	7	-3	16
14	Twente	14	3	5	6	-2	14
15	For Sittard	15	4	2	9	-9	14
16	FC Emmen	15	3	4	8	-13	13
17	VVV Venlo	15	3	3	9	-22	12
18	Den Haag	14	0	6	8	-16	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+35	38
2	AZ Alkmaar	14	8	5	1	+13	29
3	PSV Eindhoven	15	7	5	3	+11	26
4	Feyenoord	15	7	4	4	+7	25
5	Twente	15	6	5	4	+4	23
6	Utrecht	13	6	4	3	+8	22
7	Vitesse	14	7	1	6	+3	22
8	For Sittard	14	6	2	6	-3	20
9	Groningen	14	6	1	7	-4	19
10	Sparta Rotterdam	14	5	3	6	-4	18
11	Heerenveen	15	3	6	6	-8	15
12	Heracles	15	4	3	8	-19	15
13	Zwolle	15	3	5	7	-7	14
14	FC Emmen	15	2	5	8	-13	11
15	Waalwijk	15	2	4	9	-15	10
16	VVV Venlo	15	3	1	11	-16	10
17	Den Haag	15	2	4	9	-26	10
18	Willem II	15	1	5	9	-19	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.