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Eredivisie

Referee: Martin Perez

Twente

S T U U S

3–3

Full-time

Waalwijk

T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-2,0

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

1,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

15 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 9

6 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Twente 8. · Waalwijk 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+8	7
2	Vitesse	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Willem II	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Twente	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	VVV Venlo	3	1	0	2	-4	3
12	FC Emmen	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Feyenoord	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Den Haag	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	FC Emmen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Twente	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Willem II	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Heerenveen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	PSV Eindhoven	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.