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Eredivisie

Referee: R Dieperink

Heracles

U T S T S

3–2

Full-time

Willem II

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 6/7 matches

Win Ø 52%

33%

71%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

33%

71%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

43%

Average goals

2,3

2,4

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

17 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 4

10 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 11. · Willem II 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	1	0	+29	19
2	Willem II	7	5	1	1	+3	16
3	Feyenoord	6	5	0	1	+12	15
4	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	0	2	+7	15
5	Utrecht	7	4	2	1	+12	14
6	Twente	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Cambuur	7	4	0	3	-3	12
8	Heerenveen	6	3	1	2	+0	10
9	Vitesse	7	3	1	3	-8	10
10	Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	-7	8
11	Heracles	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	1	5	-9	7
13	Waalwijk	8	1	3	4	-3	6
14	Groningen	8	1	3	4	-7	6
15	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	3	3	-8	6
16	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-7	5
17	AZ Alkmaar	5	1	0	4	-2	3
18	Zwolle	7	0	1	6	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+22	12
2	Utrecht	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Cambuur	4	3	0	1	+5	9
5	Willem II	4	3	0	1	-1	9
6	Twente	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Heerenveen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Go Ahead Eagles	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Heracles	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Waalwijk	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	For Sittard	3	1	1	1	-4	4
15	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
16	Groningen	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Vitesse	3	0	1	2	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	-2	9
3	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+7	7
4	Willem II	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Twente	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+6	6
7	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Nijmegen	4	1	1	2	-6	4
10	Groningen	4	1	0	3	-6	3
11	Cambuur	3	1	0	2	-8	3
12	Waalwijk	4	0	2	2	-2	2
13	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	1	2	-6	1
16	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	1	3	-10	1
17	AZ Alkmaar	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Zwolle	4	0	0	4	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.