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Eredivisie

Referee: B Nijhuis

Heracles

T U T S T

1–0

Full-time

Waalwijk

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 19%

20%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

40%

83%

Both score Ø 72%

60%

83%

Average goals

2,6

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

22 Shots 5

9 Shots on target 0

5 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

5 Free kicks against 5

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 16. · Waalwijk 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	1	0	+29	19
2	Willem II	7	5	1	1	+3	16
3	Feyenoord	6	5	0	1	+12	15
4	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	0	2	+7	15
5	Utrecht	7	4	2	1	+12	14
6	Twente	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	Cambuur	7	4	0	3	-3	12
8	Heerenveen	6	3	1	2	+0	10
9	Vitesse	7	3	1	3	-8	10
10	Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	-7	8
11	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	3	3	-8	6
12	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	0	5	-9	6
13	Waalwijk	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Groningen	7	1	2	4	-7	5
15	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-7	5
16	Heracles	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	AZ Alkmaar	5	1	0	4	-2	3
18	Zwolle	7	0	1	6	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+22	12
2	Utrecht	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Cambuur	4	3	0	1	+5	9
5	Willem II	4	3	0	1	-1	9
6	Twente	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Heerenveen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Go Ahead Eagles	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	For Sittard	3	1	1	1	-4	4
13	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	Waalwijk	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Heracles	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Groningen	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Vitesse	3	0	1	2	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	-2	9
3	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+7	7
4	Willem II	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+6	6
6	Twente	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Nijmegen	4	1	1	2	-6	4
10	Groningen	4	1	0	3	-6	3
11	Cambuur	3	1	0	2	-8	3
12	Waalwijk	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	1	2	-6	1
16	AZ Alkmaar	3	0	0	3	-4	0
17	Zwolle	4	0	0	4	-8	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.