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Eredivisie

Referee: J Manschot

Heracles

T S S T T

0–0

Full-time

Ajax

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,5

4,2

Scored

1,7

4,0

Conceded

1,8

0,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+3,8

This season — Eredivisie · 9/10 matches

Win Ø 57%

33%

80%

Points per game

1,1

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

44%

60%

Both score Ø 33%

56%

10%

Average goals

2,9

3,9

Scored

1,2

3,7

Conceded

1,7

0,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+3,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

30% Possession 70%

7 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 7

7 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 6

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 13. · Ajax 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	8	1	1	+35	25
2	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	0	3	+8	24
3	Utrecht	10	6	2	2	+10	20
4	Feyenoord	9	6	1	2	+12	19
5	Willem II	10	5	3	2	+2	18
6	Vitesse	10	5	1	4	-7	16
7	Twente	11	4	3	4	+0	15
8	Nijmegen	10	4	2	4	-5	14
9	Heerenveen	9	4	1	4	-2	13
10	Go Ahead Eagles	10	4	1	5	-6	13
11	Cambuur	10	4	0	6	-7	12
12	Waalwijk	10	2	4	4	-2	10
13	Heracles	9	3	1	5	-4	10
14	Groningen	10	2	4	4	-5	10
15	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	0	5	+2	9
16	For Sittard	9	2	3	4	-8	9
17	Sparta Rotterdam	10	1	4	5	-10	7
18	Zwolle	10	1	1	8	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+26	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	0	1	+8	15
3	Utrecht	5	4	1	0	+11	13
4	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Willem II	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Go Ahead Eagles	5	3	0	2	+3	9
7	Cambuur	6	3	0	3	+2	9
8	Heracles	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Twente	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Waalwijk	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	For Sittard	5	2	1	2	-5	7
12	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+6	6
13	Groningen	5	1	3	1	+1	6
14	Heerenveen	4	2	0	2	-1	6
15	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	3	1	-2	6
16	Nijmegen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Vitesse	5	1	1	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	5	4	0	1	-1	12
2	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	Nijmegen	6	3	1	2	-3	10
4	Feyenoord	5	3	0	2	+6	9
5	PSV Eindhoven	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Willem II	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	Heerenveen	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Utrecht	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Twente	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-6	4
11	Go Ahead Eagles	5	1	1	3	-9	4
12	Waalwijk	5	0	3	2	-2	3
13	AZ Alkmaar	5	1	0	4	-4	3
14	Cambuur	4	1	0	3	-9	3
15	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Heracles	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Sparta Rotterdam	5	0	1	4	-8	1
18	Zwolle	5	0	0	5	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.