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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
PSV Eindhoven
S T S S T
5–2
Full-time
Twente
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 55%
70%
40%
Points per game
2,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
90%
50%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
3,9
2,9
Scored
2,2
1,6
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

53% Possession 47%
20 Shots 7
12 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · Twente 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 10 8 1 1 +35 25
2 PSV Eindhoven 10 7 0 3 +5 21
3 Utrecht 10 6 2 2 +10 20
4 Feyenoord 9 6 1 2 +12 19
5 Willem II 10 5 3 2 +2 18
6 Vitesse 10 5 1 4 -7 16
7 Twente 10 4 3 3 +3 15
8 Nijmegen 10 4 2 4 -5 14
9 Heerenveen 9 4 1 4 -2 13
10 Go Ahead Eagles 10 4 1 5 -6 13
11 Cambuur 10 4 0 6 -7 12
12 Waalwijk 10 2 4 4 -2 10
13 Heracles 9 3 1 5 -4 10
14 Groningen 10 2 4 4 -5 10
15 AZ Alkmaar 8 3 0 5 +2 9
16 For Sittard 9 2 3 4 -8 9
17 Sparta Rotterdam 10 1 4 5 -10 7
18 Zwolle 10 1 1 8 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Twente
13′
M. Vlap 0–1
G. Smal
1–1 Y. Vertessen
M. van Ginkel
14′
2–1 E. Zahavi
J. Teze
27′
42′
🟨 Michel Vlap
44′
R. Zerrouki 2–2
R. van Wolfswinkel
Half-time 3–2
3–2 Y. Vertessen
Carlos Vinícius
54′
4–2 Carlos Vinícius
58′
5–2 Carlos Vinícius
E. Zahavi
63′
67′
🔁 J. Bosch
↦ R. Zerrouki
67′
🔁 L. Ilić
↦ M. Vlap
67′
🔁 M. Ugalde
↦ R. van Wolfswinkel
67′
🔁 D. Limnios
↦ V. Misidjan
D. Pröpper 🔁
↦ M. van Ginkel
68′
Bruma 🔁
↦ Y. Vertessen
75′
Mauro Júnior 🔁
↦ Carlos Vinícius
75′
M. Romero 🔁
↦ E. Zahavi
86′
É. Gutiérrez 🔁
↦ O. Boscagli
86′
87′
🔁 D. Cleonise
↦ D. Rots
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
5 André Ramalho D
31 P. Max D
18 O. Boscagli M
4 A. Obispo D
3 J. Teze D
8 M. van Ginkel M
6 I. Sangaré M
7 E. Zahavi F
9 Carlos Vinícius F
32 Y. Vertessen F
Bench (8)
14 D. Pröpper
19 Bruma
17 Mauro Júnior
20 M. Romero
15 É. Gutiérrez
29 P. Mwene
13 V. Müller
38 Y. Mvogo

Coach: R. Schmidt

Twente

4-2-3-1
22 J. de Lange G
3 R. Pröpper D
4 Julio Pleguezuelo D
5 G. Smal D
35 M. Hilgers D
23 M. Sadílek M
14 M. Vlap M
19 R. Zerrouki M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
10 V. Misidjan M
39 D. Rots M
Bench (10)
32 J. Bosch
8 L. Ilić
27 M. Ugalde
18 D. Limnios
26 D. Cleonise
43 D. Đumić
40 C. Staring
17 J. Oosterwolde
30 E. van der Gouw
2 G. Troupée

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,32
U
5,36
B
8,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,49
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.