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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kamphuis
Twente
S S S S U
1–1
Full-time
Willem II
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
50%
63%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
6 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Twente 7. · Willem II 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 9 7 1 1 +30 22
2 PSV Eindhoven 9 7 0 2 +10 21
3 Utrecht 9 5 2 2 +9 17
4 Feyenoord 8 5 1 2 +11 16
5 Willem II 8 5 1 2 +2 16
6 Vitesse 9 5 1 3 -6 16
7 Twente 8 4 2 2 +4 14
8 Heerenveen 8 4 1 3 -1 13
9 Cambuur 9 4 0 5 -6 12
10 Nijmegen 9 3 2 4 -6 11
11 Heracles 8 3 1 4 -3 10
12 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 1 5 -7 10
13 AZ Alkmaar 7 3 0 4 +4 9
14 For Sittard 8 2 2 4 -8 8
15 Waalwijk 9 1 4 4 -3 7
16 Groningen 9 1 4 4 -7 7
17 Sparta Rotterdam 9 1 4 4 -9 7
18 Zwolle 9 0 1 8 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Willem II
1–0 D. Limnios
6′
24′
C. Nunnely 1–1
K. Wriedt
Ramiz Zerrouki 🟨
33′
33′
🟨 Derrick Köhn
Michal Sadílek 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–1
Ramiz Zerrouki 🟨
48′
Ramiz Zerrouki 🟥
48′
52′
🟨 Kwasi Okyere Wriedt
68′
🔁 R. Meerveld
↦ Pol Llonch
68′
🔁 A. Kampetsis
↦ K. Wriedt
V. Misidjan 🔁
↦ D. Rots
73′
76′
🟨 Derrick Köhn
76′
🟥 Derrick Köhn
81′
🔁 G. Sağlam
↦ M. Svensson
Julio Pleguezuelo 🔁
↦ M. Hilgers
89′
D. Cleonise 🔁
↦ D. Limnios
89′
J. Bosch 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
90′
M. Ugalde 🔁
↦ G. Troupée
90′
91′
🔁 N. Michelis
↦ C. Nunnely
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
1 L. Unnerstall G
3 R. Pröpper D
2 G. Troupée D
17 J. Oosterwolde D
35 M. Hilgers D
23 M. Sadílek M
18 D. Limnios F
14 M. Vlap M
19 R. Zerrouki M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
39 D. Rots F
Bench (12)
10 V. Misidjan
4 Julio Pleguezuelo
26 D. Cleonise
32 J. Bosch
27 M. Ugalde
43 D. Đumić
30 E. van der Gouw
22 J. de Lange
8 L. Ilić
38 M. Bruns
5 G. Smal
40 C. Staring

Coach: R. Jans

Willem II

4-2-3-1
21 T. Wellenreuther G
5 E. Bergström D
4 U. Jenssen D
13 L. Owusu D
27 D. Köhn D
8 Pol Llonch M
17 D. Saddiki M
9 K. Wriedt F
11 M. Köhlert M
7 C. Nunnely M
15 M. Svensson M
Bench (11)
16 R. Meerveld
10 A. Kampetsis
23 G. Sağlam
25 N. Michelis
28 V. Schippers
14 E. Kabangu
18 M. Nelom
26 J. Brondeel
24 C. van den Berg
20 G. Roemeratoe
19 J. Yeboah

Coach: F. Grim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,73
U ✓
3,85
B
4,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,14
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.