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Eredivisie

Referee: R Dieperink

Twente

T S S T S

1–0

Full-time

Heerenveen

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

4,2

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,3

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

4,2

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

0,7

2,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,68 xG 0,39

66% Possession 34%

11 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Twente 4. · Heerenveen 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+21	+16.1	21
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	+20	+16.2	17
3	AZ Alkmaar	6	5	1	0	+13	+6.4	16
4	Twente	6	5	0	1	+9	+4.6	15
5	Sparta Rotterdam	6	3	2	1	+2	+0.4	11
6	Go Ahead Eagles	7	3	1	3	-2	-7.9	10
7	Excelsior	6	2	3	1	+2	-2.6	9
8	For Sittard	6	2	3	1	+0	+2.2	9
9	Heracles	6	2	2	2	-2	-4.8	8
10	Nijmegen	6	2	1	3	+0	-6.0	7
11	Zwolle	6	2	1	3	-4	+2.5	7
12	Heerenveen	6	2	0	4	-7	-5.9	6
13	Waalwijk	6	2	0	4	-8	+1.0	6
14	Ajax	5	1	2	2	-3	-1.1	5
15	Almere City	7	1	1	5	-12	-5.4	4
16	Vitesse	6	1	0	5	-7	-4.0	3
17	Utrecht	7	1	0	6	-12	-6.1	3
18	Volendam	6	0	1	5	-10	-5.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	+11.9	12
2	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+12	+9.0	10
3	Go Ahead Eagles	3	3	0	0	+7	+2.2	9
4	Twente	3	3	0	0	+5	+2.3	9
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+6	+5.3	7
6	For Sittard	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.9	7
7	Nijmegen	3	2	0	1	+5	+0.8	6
8	Heracles	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.4	6
9	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.4	5
10	Zwolle	4	1	1	2	-3	+2.4	4
11	Excelsior	3	0	3	0	+0	-2.3	3
12	Ajax	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.3	3
13	Heerenveen	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.8	3
14	Waalwijk	3	1	0	2	-5	-0.5	3
15	Volendam	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.0	1
16	Vitesse	3	0	0	3	-6	-2.9	0
17	Almere City	3	0	0	3	-8	-4.2	0
18	Utrecht	3	0	0	3	-8	-4.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+10	+4.2	9
2	AZ Alkmaar	3	3	0	0	+7	+1.1	9
3	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+8	+7.2	7
4	Twente	3	2	0	1	+4	+2.3	6
5	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.3	6
6	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.9	6
7	Almere City	4	1	1	2	-4	-1.3	4
8	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.0	3
9	Vitesse	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.0	3
10	Waalwijk	3	1	0	2	-3	+1.4	3
11	Heerenveen	3	1	0	2	-4	-5.1	3
12	Utrecht	4	1	0	3	-4	-1.6	3
13	Ajax	3	0	2	1	-2	-1.4	2
14	Heracles	3	0	2	1	-3	-5.2	2
15	For Sittard	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.7	2
16	Nijmegen	3	0	1	2	-5	-6.8	1
17	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	1	3	-9	-10.1	1
18	Volendam	3	0	0	3	-7	-4.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.