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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
Feyenoord
S S S T S
4–0
Full-time
Vitesse
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
4,0
1,7
Scored
3,2
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
75%
25%
Points per game
2,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
75%
38%
Both score Ø 51%
63%
38%
Average goals
4,3
2,1
Scored
3,5
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+2,8
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,82 xG 0,12
57% Possession 43%
23 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 4. · Vitesse 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 9 9 0 0 +27 +20.3 27
2 AZ Alkmaar 8 7 1 0 +18 +9.6 22
3 Twente 8 7 0 1 +13 +6.6 21
4 Feyenoord 8 6 2 0 +22 +17.6 20
5 Excelsior 8 3 4 1 +3 -1.9 13
6 Go Ahead Eagles 8 4 1 3 +2 -8.0 13
7 Sparta Rotterdam 8 3 2 3 -3 -4.5 11
8 Heracles 8 3 2 3 -5 -3.8 11
9 Nijmegen 9 2 3 4 -2 -6.8 9
10 Waalwijk 8 3 0 5 -8 -1.5 9
11 For Sittard 9 2 3 4 -9 -1.6 9
12 Almere City 9 2 2 5 -11 -4.1 8
13 Vitesse 8 2 1 5 -5 -3.4 7
14 Zwolle 8 2 1 5 -7 +0.1 7
15 Heerenveen 8 2 1 5 -8 -5.1 7
16 Ajax 6 1 2 3 -4 -2.6 5
17 Volendam 8 1 1 6 -10 -2.8 4
18 Utrecht 8 1 0 7 -13 -8.1 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Vitesse
1–0 C. Stengs
Q. Timber
7′
28′
🟨 Dominik Oroz
30′
🔁 E. Cornelisse
↦ K. Kozłowski
2–0 S. Giménez
C. Stengs
37′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 L. Geertruida
S. Giménez
49′
A. Ueda 🔁
↦ S. Giménez
66′
L. Sauer 🔁
↦ C. Stengs
66′
R. Zerrouki 🔁
↦ Igor Paixão
66′
73′
🔁 T. Domgjoni
↦ M. Tielemans
A. Jahanbakhsh 🔁
↦ Y. Minteh
74′
74′
🔁 S. Hamulić
↦ J. Voelkerling Persson
A. Milambo 🔁
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
81′
4–0 A. Milambo
L. Sauer
85′
86′
🔁 G. de Regt
↦ M. Manhoef
86′
🔁 M. Egbring
↦ C. Arcus
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
1 J. Bijlow G
2 B. Nieuwkoop D
4 L. Geertruida D
33 D. Hancko D
5 Q. Hartman D
10 C. Stengs M
20 M. Wieffer M
8 Q. Timber M
19 Y. Minteh F
29 S. Giménez F
14 Igor Paixão F
Bench (12)
9 A. Ueda
25 L. Sauer
6 R. Zerrouki
7 A. Jahanbakhsh
27 A. Milambo
32 O. Lingr
31 K. Lamprou
22 T. Wellenreuther
3 T. Beelen
16 T. van den Belt
11 J. Dilrosun
15 M. López

Coach: A. Slot

Vitesse

4-2-3-1
1 E. Room G
2 C. Arcus D
6 D. Oroz D
29 N. Isimat-Mirin D
15 R. Hendriks D
21 M. Tielemans M
20 M. Meulensteen M
42 M. Manhoef M
8 M. van Ginkel M
17 K. Kozłowski M
9 J. Voelkerling Persson F
Bench (10)
13 E. Cornelisse
22 T. Domgjoni
10 S. Hamulić
25 G. de Regt
56 M. Egbring
55 T. Bramel
43 G. van Zwam
31 M. Schubert
44 J. Altena
26 M. Jonathans

Coach: P. Cocu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,14
U
8,37
B
17,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,36
U2,5
3,08
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.