Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Heracles
Volendam
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | +52 | +40.8 | 51 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | +34 | +34.5 | 39 |
| 3 |
Twente
|
18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | +15 | +11.9 | 37 |
| 4 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | +20 | +11.2 | 33 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | +6 | +5.1 | 28 |
| 6 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +2 | -6.2 | 25 |
| 7 |
Nijmegen
|
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | +4 | -12.4 | 24 |
| 8 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | +2 | -7.0 | 22 |
| 9 |
Excelsior
|
18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -4 | -8.5 | 20 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -9 | -3.9 | 20 |
| 11 |
Zwolle
|
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -5 | -5.5 | 19 |
| 12 |
For Sittard
|
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -13 | -1.3 | 19 |
| 13 |
Almere City
|
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -15 | -6.7 | 19 |
| 14 |
Utrecht
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -9 | -10.5 | 18 |
| 15 |
Heracles
|
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -18 | -11.7 | 18 |
| 16 |
Waalwijk
|
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -14 | -4.5 | 14 |
| 17 |
Vitesse
|
17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -25 | -13.1 | 12 |
| 18 |
Volendam
|
17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -23 | -12.3 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Brouwer
G
J. Hoogma
D
M. Sankoh
F
Coach: E. van de Looi
M. Backhaus
G
O. Buur
M
L. Le Roux
M
C. Twigt
M
L. Zeefuik
F
Coach: R. Simons
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Waalwijk
Heracles
Heracles
Feyenoord
Vitesse
Heracles
Heracles
Sparta Rotterdam
Almere City
Heracles
J van der Laan · 63 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.