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La Liga

Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias

Villarreal

T S T U T

1–1

Full-time

Mallorca

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Mallorca

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

2,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 20%

25%

15%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

75%

25%

Both score Ø 63%

80%

45%

Average goals

3,4

2,1

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

2,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,92 xG 0,42

51% Possession 49%

18 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 15. · Mallorca 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Girona	20	15	4	1	+22	+7.5	49
2	Real Madrid	19	15	3	1	+29	+15.5	48
3	Ath Bilbao	20	12	5	3	+18	+16.2	41
4	Barcelona	19	12	5	2	+14	+24.4	41
5	Ath Madrid	19	12	2	5	+16	+10.6	38
6	Sociedad	20	8	8	4	+10	+1.3	32
7	Las Palmas	21	9	4	8	+4	-13.1	31
8	Betis	20	7	10	3	+2	-0.2	31
9	Valencia	20	8	5	7	+2	+0.2	29
10	Getafe	19	6	8	5	-1	-4.4	26
11	Alaves	21	6	5	10	-8	+2.5	23
12	Vallecano	20	5	8	7	-8	-2.7	23
13	Osasuna	19	6	4	9	-7	-3.8	22
14	Mallorca	20	3	10	7	-6	-2.8	19
15	Villarreal	20	5	4	11	-14	-6.3	19
16	Celta	20	3	8	9	-9	-2.1	17
17	Sevilla	20	3	7	10	-5	-7.6	16
18	Cadiz	21	2	9	10	-16	-14.9	15
19	Granada	20	2	5	13	-19	-12.2	11
20	Almeria	20	0	6	14	-24	-7.9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	10	9	1	0	+12	+10.8	28
2	Ath Bilbao	11	8	2	1	+15	+14.4	26
3	Real Madrid	9	8	1	0	+18	+13.4	25
4	Girona	10	8	1	1	+12	+4.2	25
5	Barcelona	10	8	0	2	+10	+12.2	24
6	Betis	10	6	4	0	+9	+7.4	22
7	Sociedad	10	5	4	1	+7	+0.6	19
8	Las Palmas	10	5	3	2	+6	-4.0	18
9	Getafe	9	5	3	1	+3	+0.0	18
10	Valencia	9	5	2	2	+7	+3.8	17
11	Alaves	10	5	1	4	+0	+6.7	16
12	Mallorca	10	2	7	1	+1	-0.5	13
13	Osasuna	10	3	3	4	-3	+0.4	12
14	Cadiz	10	2	5	3	-4	+1.3	11
15	Sevilla	11	2	4	5	-3	-2.4	10
16	Villarreal	10	3	1	6	-4	+0.9	10
17	Granada	10	2	4	4	-5	-2.4	10
18	Celta	10	2	4	4	-5	+5.0	10
19	Vallecano	10	1	5	4	-9	-2.7	8
20	Almeria	10	0	5	5	-8	+1.4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Girona	10	7	3	0	+10	+3.3	24
2	Real Madrid	10	7	2	1	+11	+2.1	23
3	Barcelona	9	4	5	0	+4	+12.2	17
4	Ath Bilbao	9	4	3	2	+3	+1.8	15
5	Vallecano	10	4	3	3	+1	-0.1	15
6	Sociedad	10	3	4	3	+3	+0.7	13
7	Las Palmas	11	4	1	6	-2	-9.0	13
8	Valencia	11	3	3	5	-5	-3.7	12
9	Ath Madrid	9	3	1	5	+4	-0.2	10
10	Osasuna	9	3	1	5	-4	-4.2	10
11	Betis	10	1	6	3	-7	-7.6	9
12	Villarreal	10	2	3	5	-10	-7.2	9
13	Getafe	10	1	5	4	-4	-4.5	8
14	Celta	10	1	4	5	-4	-7.1	7
15	Alaves	11	1	4	6	-8	-4.3	7
16	Sevilla	9	1	3	5	-2	-5.2	6
17	Mallorca	10	1	3	6	-7	-2.3	6
18	Cadiz	11	0	4	7	-12	-16.2	4
19	Granada	10	0	1	9	-14	-9.8	1
20	Almeria	10	0	1	9	-16	-9.3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.