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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Bauer
Nurnberg
T T T S T
3–0
Full-time
Hansa Rostock
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Hansa Rostock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 35%
41%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
65%
59%
Both score Ø 59%
65%
53%
Average goals
3,4
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%
8 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 11. · Hansa Rostock 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Holstein Kiel 18 11 2 5 +9 35
2 St Pauli 17 8 9 0 +16 33
3 Hamburg 17 9 4 4 +11 31
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 17 9 3 5 +16 30
5 Greuther Furth 17 8 5 4 +7 29
6 Paderborn 17 8 3 6 +0 27
7 Hertha 17 7 4 6 +7 25
8 Hannover 17 6 6 5 +7 24
9 Karlsruhe 18 6 6 6 +1 24
10 Elversberg 17 7 3 7 -3 24
11 Nurnberg 17 7 3 7 -9 24
12 Wehen 17 6 4 7 -3 22
13 Magdeburg 17 5 5 7 +2 20
14 Schalke 04 17 6 2 9 -4 20
15 Kaiserslautern 17 5 3 9 -8 18
16 Hansa Rostock 17 5 2 10 -11 17
17 Braunschweig 18 5 2 11 -14 17
18 Osnabruck 18 1 6 11 -24 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Hansa Rostock
1–0 C. Uzun
N. Brown
15′
2–0 C. Uzun
36′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 J. Castrop
F. Flick
51′
64′
🔁 K. Schumacher
↦ C. Kinsombi
64′
🔁 J. Perea
↦ S. Ingelsson
64′
🔁 D. Dressel
↦ S. Rhein
D. Hayashi 🔁
↦ S. Andersson
70′
L. Schleimer 🔁
↦ C. Uzun
79′
81′
🔁 N. Fröling
↦ S. Singh
81′
🔁 J. Lang
↦ N. Neidhart
J. Geis 🔁
↦ J. Castrop
85′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Nurnberg

4-2-3-1
1 C. Klaus G
22 E. Valentini D
15 Iván Márquez D
38 J. Horn D
27 N. Brown D
17 J. Castrop M
6 F. Flick M
14 B. Goller M
42 C. Uzun M
11 K. Okunuki M
20 S. Andersson F
Bench (9)
9 D. Hayashi
36 L. Schleimer
5 J. Geis
13 E. Wekesser
8 T. Duman
3 A. Gürleyen
43 J. Hofmann
44 F. Jeltsch
26 C. Mathenia

Coach: C. Fiél

Hansa Rostock

4-2-3-1
23 N. Körber G
7 N. Neidhart D
22 J. van der Werff D
4 D. Roßbach D
21 A. Rossipal D
8 S. Rhein M
26 J. Bachmann M
27 C. Kinsombi M
14 S. Ingelsson M
28 S. Singh M
9 K. Pröger F
Bench (9)
13 K. Schumacher
18 J. Perea
6 D. Dressel
10 N. Fröling
34 J. Lang
5 O. Hüsing
11 S. Güler
29 F. Ruschke
30 M. Hagemoser

Coach: M. Selimbegovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,92
U
3,70
B
3,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Bauer · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.