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Serie B
Referee: M Gualtieri
Lecco
T T U S T
1–3
Full-time
Pisa
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecco Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
55%
40%
Both score Ø 58%
55%
60%
Average goals
2,9
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
18 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lecco 17. · Pisa 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 21 13 6 2 +23 45
2 Como 21 11 6 4 +8 39
3 Cremonese 21 11 5 5 +14 38
4 Venezia 20 11 5 4 +13 38
5 Cittadella 21 10 6 5 +5 36
6 Catanzaro 21 10 3 8 +3 33
7 Palermo 20 9 5 6 +7 32
8 Brescia 21 7 8 6 +1 29
9 Modena 20 7 7 6 -4 28
10 Bari 20 5 11 4 +0 26
11 Reggiana 21 5 10 6 -3 25
12 Sampdoria 21 7 4 10 -6 25
13 Sudtirol 21 6 6 9 -1 24
14 Pisa 20 5 8 7 -3 23
15 Cosenza 20 5 6 9 -3 21
16 Ternana 21 5 6 10 -4 21
17 Lecco 20 5 5 10 -11 20
18 Ascoli 20 4 6 10 -7 18
19 FeralpiSalo 21 4 5 12 -16 17
20 Spezia 21 3 8 10 -16 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Oct -23 Pisa – Lecco 1–2

Match report

Lecco Pisa
Mats Lemmens 🟨
11′
Giovanni Crociata 🟨
28′
Alessandro Sersanti 🟨
28′
30′
Miguel Veloso 0–1
35′
🔁 J. Mlakar
↦ N. Bonfanti
Half-time 0–1
D. Guglielmotti 🔁
↦ L. Di Stefano
46′
D. Degli Innocenti 🔁
↦ M. Lemmens
46′
57′
🟨 Marius Marin
E. Salcedo 🔁
↦ G. Crociata
58′
Eddie Salcedo 🟨
62′
70′
🔁 I. Touré
↦ E. Torregrossa
70′
🔁 L. Tramoni
↦ A. Arena
74′
A. Calabresi 0–2
M. D'Alessandro
Eddie Salcedo ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
81′
82′
🟨 Nícolas
1–2 F. Lepore
82′
Franco Lepore 🟨
83′
85′
J. Mlakar 1–3
I. Touré
89′
🔁 H. Hermannsson
↦ Tomás Esteves
89′
🔁 T. Barbieri
↦ M. DAlessandro
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Lecco

4-3-3
1 R. Melgrati G
83 M. Lemmens D
2 V. Celjak D
13 M. Battistini D
32 F. Lepore D
21 G. Crociata M
8 A. Sersanti M
27 A. Ioniţă M
73 L. Di Stefano F
90 A. Novakovich F
99 N. Buso F
Bench (12)
44 D. Guglielmotti
5 D. Degli Innocenti
10 E. Salcedo
96 G. Galli
11 H. Salomaa
22 U. Saracco
6 A. Bianconi
7 L. Giudici
26 M. Frigerio
34 L. Marrone
28 C. Louakima
9 U. Eusepi

Coach: E. Bonazzoli

Pisa

4-2-3-1
1 Nícolas G
33 A. Calabresi D
4 A. Caracciolo D
5 S. Canestrelli D
19 Tomás Esteves D
44 Miguel Veloso M
8 M. Marin M
28 A. Arena M
10 E. Torregrossa M
77 M. D'Alessandro M
9 N. Bonfanti F
Bench (12)
17 J. Mlakar
15 I. Touré
7 L. Tramoni
6 H. Hermannsson
42 T. Barbieri
16 Á. Nagy
36 G. Piccinini
30 A. De Vitis
32 S. Moreo
26 G. Masucci
23 E. Vignato
22 L. Loria

Coach: A. Aquilani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,86
U
3,14
B ✓
2,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,67
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Gualtieri · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.