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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Welz
St Pauli
S U S U U
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Kaiserslautern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 38%
47%
29%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
53%
88%
Both score Ø 77%
71%
82%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
0,9
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
20 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Pauli 2. · Kaiserslautern 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Holstein Kiel 18 11 2 5 +9 35
2 St Pauli 17 8 9 0 +16 33
3 Hamburg 17 9 4 4 +11 31
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 17 9 3 5 +16 30
5 Greuther Furth 17 8 5 4 +7 29
6 Paderborn 17 8 3 6 +0 27
7 Hertha 17 7 4 6 +7 25
8 Hannover 17 6 6 5 +7 24
9 Karlsruhe 18 6 6 6 +1 24
10 Elversberg 17 7 3 7 -3 24
11 Nurnberg 17 7 3 7 -9 24
12 Wehen 17 6 4 7 -3 22
13 Magdeburg 17 5 5 7 +2 20
14 Schalke 04 17 6 2 9 -4 20
15 Kaiserslautern 17 5 3 9 -8 18
16 Hansa Rostock 17 5 2 10 -11 17
17 Braunschweig 18 5 2 11 -14 17
18 Osnabruck 18 1 6 11 -24 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Pauli Kaiserslautern
1–0 E. Saad
M. Hartel
34′
Philipp Treu 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
Hauke Wahl 🟨
50′
55′
🟨 Boris Tomiak
63′
🔁 R. Ache
↦ D. Hanslik
64′
🔁 B. Simakala
↦ T. Raschl
2–0 M. Hartel
64′
Eric Smith 🟨
73′
73′
🟨 Marlon Ritter
81′
🔁 K. Redondo
↦ T. Puchacz
81′
🔁 A. Opoku
↦ M. Ritter
Maurides 🔁
↦ J. Eggestein
84′
E. Amenyido 🔁
↦ O. Afolayan
84′
C. Boukhalfa 🔁
↦ E. Saad
91′
L. Ritzka 🔁
↦ M. Saliakas
91′
A. Dźwigała 🔁
↦ A. Kemlein
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

St Pauli

4-3-3
22 N. Vasilj G
2 M. Saliakas D
5 H. Wahl D
3 K. Mets D
23 P. Treu D
36 A. Kemlein M
8 E. Smith M
10 M. Hartel M
17 O. Afolayan F
11 J. Eggestein F
26 E. Saad F
Bench (9)
9 Maurides
14 E. Amenyido
16 C. Boukhalfa
21 L. Ritzka
25 A. Dźwigała
15 D. Sinani
4 D. Nemeth
30 S. Burchert
19 A. Albers

Coach: F. Hürzeler

Kaiserslautern

3-4-2-1
18 J. Krahl G
6 A. Touré D
2 B. Tomiak D
33 J. Elvedi D
8 J. Zimmer M
26 F. Kaloč M
20 T. Raschl M
15 T. Puchacz M
29 R. Tachie F
7 M. Ritter F
19 D. Hanslik F
Bench (9)
9 R. Ache
24 B. Simakala
11 K. Redondo
17 A. Opoku
25 F. Stojilković
30 A. Spahić
27 F. Ronstadt
16 J. Niehues
5 K. Kraus

Coach: D. Grammozis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,46
U
4,49
B
6,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Welz · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.