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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
PSV Eindhoven
S U S T S
5–0
Full-time
Almere City
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Almere City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 41%
68%
14%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
82%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
64%
36%
Average goals
4,1
2,6
Scored
2,9
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

4,96 xG 0,74
72% Possession 28%
34 Shots 8
17 Shots on target 2
11 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 12
11 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · Almere City 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Ajax 28 22 4 2 +39 +26.9 70
2 PSV Eindhoven 28 19 4 5 +48 +34.9 61
3 Feyenoord 29 17 8 4 +32 +24.2 59
4 Utrecht 28 15 8 5 +9 +2.3 53
5 Go Ahead Eagles 28 13 6 9 +6 +11.2 45
6 Twente 26 12 8 6 +13 +14.8 44
7 AZ Alkmaar 26 11 7 8 +6 +11.1 40
8 Sparta Rotterdam 29 8 10 11 -3 +2.0 34
9 Heerenveen 28 9 7 12 -8 -2.4 34
10 Nijmegen 28 9 6 13 +1 +1.4 33
11 For Sittard 29 9 6 14 -16 -7.4 33
12 Heracles 28 7 11 10 -13 -14.8 32
13 Groningen 28 8 8 12 -14 -9.7 32
14 Zwolle 28 7 9 12 -9 -22.3 30
15 NAC Breda 28 8 6 14 -18 -16.0 30
16 Willem II 28 6 6 16 -18 -23.3 24
17 Waalwijk 29 4 7 18 -23 -19.3 19
18 Almere City 28 4 7 17 -32 -13.6 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Almere City
1–0 I. Saibari
N. Lang
5′
2–0 J. Bakayoko
I. Saibari
22′
3–0 N. Lang
Mauro Júnior
26′
4–0 M. Tillman
41′
Half-time 4–0
46′
🔁 A. Tahiri
↦ T. Haye
46′
🔁 Ali Jasim
↦ J. Kadile
G. Til 🔁
↦ M. Tillman
63′
J. Schouten 🔁
↦ J. Veerman
63′
A. Nagalo 🔁
↦ R. Flamingo
64′
5–0 I. Saibari
J. Schouten
68′
C. Driouech 🔁
↦ N. Lang
74′
75′
🔁 Álex Balboa
↦ T. Receveur
75′
🔁 A. Nalić
↦ C. Brym
75′
🔁 R. Providence
↦ K. Hansen
I. Babadi 🔁
↦ I. Saibari
86′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
37 R. Ledezma D
6 R. Flamingo D
18 O. Boscagli D
17 Mauro Júnior D
34 I. Saibari M
23 J. Veerman M
7 M. Tillman M
11 J. Bakayoko F
9 L. de Jong F
10 N. Lang F
Bench (12)
20 G. Til
22 J. Schouten
39 A. Nagalo
21 C. Driouech
26 I. Babadi
19 E. Bajraktarević
5 I. Perišić
28 T. Land
4 A. Obispo
3 T. Malacia
24 N. Schiks
16 J. Drommel

Coach: P. Bosz

Almere City

4-4-2
1 N. Bakker G
20 H. Akujobi D
27 M. Martins D
15 J. Lawrence D
14 V. Zagaritis D
17 K. Hansen M
19 T. Haye M
28 T. Receveur M
11 J. Kadile M
9 T. Robinet F
18 C. Brym F
Bench (12)
8 A. Tahiri
12 Ali Jasim
23 Álex Balboa
16 A. Nalić
7 R. Providence
2 D. Dankerlui
3 J. Jacobs
4 Visus
21 B. Guillaume
22 T. Barbet
31 J. van der Wilt
29 J. Wendlinger

Coach: J. Rijsdijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,13
U
8,82
B
16,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,24
U2,5
3,75
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.