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Premiership
Referee: D McFarlane
Dundee United
T U T S S
1–0
Full-time
ST Johnstone
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,7
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 33%
41%
25%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
41%
63%
Both score Ø 52%
47%
56%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
9 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 5. · ST Johnstone 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 33 26 3 4 +75 81
2 Rangers 32 20 5 7 +33 65
3 Hibernian 32 13 11 8 +9 50
4 Aberdeen 32 14 7 11 -4 49
5 Dundee United 32 13 8 11 +0 47
6 Hearts 32 11 6 15 -1 39
7 St Mirren 32 11 5 16 -10 38
8 Motherwell 32 11 5 16 -19 38
9 Kilmarnock 33 9 8 16 -20 35
10 Ross County 32 9 8 15 -22 35
11 Dundee 32 9 7 16 -17 34
12 ST Johnstone 32 8 5 19 -24 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Dec -24 ST Johnstone – Dundee United 1–2 24. Aug -24 Dundee United – ST Johnstone 2–0 6. May -23 ST Johnstone – Dundee United 1–0 18. Feb -23 Dundee United – ST Johnstone 1–2 2. Jan -23 ST Johnstone – Dundee United 0–1

Match report

Dundee United ST Johnstone
1–0 E. Adegboyega ⚽
S. Dalby
25′
29′
🔁 S. Sprangler
↦ Z. Mitchell
Half-time 1–0
52′
🟨 Barry Douglas
52′
🔁 B. Kimpioka
↦ J. Holt
52′
🔁 T. Steven
↦ S. Curtis
Luca Stephenson 🟨
66′
C. Sibbald 🔁
↦ G. Middleton
66′
L. Moult 🔁
↦ K. Trapanovski
66′
68′
🔁 N. Clark
↦ V. Griffith
68′
🔁 J. McPake
↦ S. Duke-McKenna
R. Paton 🔁
↦ S. Dalby
70′
74′
🟨 Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka
D. Babunski 🔁
↦ L. Stephenson
85′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Dundee United

3-4-2-1
1 J. Walton G
37 S. Harding D
31 D. Gallagher D
16 E. Adegboyega D
2 R. Strain M
17 L. Stephenson M
23 R. Docherty M
11 W. Ferry M
15 G. Middleton F
7 K. Trapanovski F
19 S. Dalby F
Bench (8)
14 C. Sibbald
9 L. Moult
21 R. Paton
10 D. Babunski
22 A. Campbell
20 J. van der Sande
18 K. Fotheringham
25 D. Richards

Coach: J. Goodwin

ST Johnstone

3-4-2-1
1 A. Fisher G
4 D. Balodis D
5 Z. Mitchell D
30 B. Douglas D
37 S. Curtis M
7 J. Holt M
6 V. Griffith M
21 S. Duke-McKenna M
11 G. Carey F
27 M. Kirk F
16 A. Sidibeh F
Bench (9)
23 S. Sprangler
29 B. Kimpioka
19 T. Steven
10 N. Clark
24 J. McPake
44 E. Watt
8 J. Svedberg
22 M. Smith
20 R. Sinclair

Coach: S. Valakari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,79
🔒
U
3,51
🔒
B
4,54
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,20
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,65
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D McFarlane · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.