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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Schröder
1–2
Full-time
Nurnberg
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kaiserslautern Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 45%
46%
43%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
68%
64%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
25 Shots 5
12 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 10
12 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kaiserslautern 5. · Nurnberg 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 29 14 10 5 +27 52
2 FC Koln 29 15 6 8 +9 51
3 Elversberg 29 13 8 8 +21 47
4 Magdeburg 29 12 10 7 +13 46
5 Kaiserslautern 28 13 7 8 +6 46
6 Paderborn 28 12 9 7 +10 45
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 28 12 8 8 +4 44
8 Hannover 29 11 10 8 +5 43
9 Nurnberg 28 12 5 11 +3 41
10 Karlsruhe 28 11 7 10 -3 40
11 Schalke 04 28 10 7 11 -2 37
12 Hertha 29 10 6 13 -2 36
13 Darmstadt 29 9 8 12 +2 35
14 Greuther Furth 29 9 8 12 -12 35
15 Braunschweig 29 7 9 13 -22 30
16 Preußen Münster 28 6 9 13 -8 27
17 Ulm 29 5 11 13 -6 26
18 Regensburg 28 5 4 19 -45 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kaiserslautern Nurnberg
14′
F. Gruber 0–1
R. Lubach
Half-time 0–1
D. Yokota 🔁
↦ D. Hanslik
46′
54′
🟨 Jens Castrop
59′
🔁 O. Villadsen
↦ T. Janisch
F. Alidou 🔁
↦ J. Gyamerah
60′
68′
M. Emreli 0–2
J. Justvan
70′
🟨 Mahir Emreli
1–2 M. Ritter
72′
73′
🔁 F. Flick
↦ R. Lubach
83′
🟨 Lukas Schleimer
G. Ranos 🔁
↦ K. Redondo
85′
86′
🔁 J. Serra
↦ M. Emreli
86′
🔁 D. Forkel
↦ L. Schleimer
87′
🟨 Jan Reichert
Filip Kaloč 🟨
93′
Maximilian Bauer 🟨
96′
96′
🟨 Janni Serra
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Kaiserslautern

3-4-2-1
1 J. Krahl G
33 J. Elvedi D
31 L. Sirch D
5 M. Bauer D
32 J. Gyamerah M
16 T. Breithaupt M
26 F. Kaloč M
11 K. Redondo M
7 M. Ritter F
19 D. Hanslik F
9 R. Ache F
Bench (9)
41 D. Yokota
48 F. Alidou
42 G. Ranos
13 E. Wekesser
8 J. Zimmer
37 Leon Robinson
25 S. Simoni
3 F. Kleinhansl
24 J. Heuer

Coach: M. Anfang

Nurnberg

3-4-1-2
1 J. Reichert G
5 T. Drexler D
4 F. Gruber D
44 O. Karafiát D
32 T. Janisch M
17 J. Castrop M
18 R. Lubach M
21 B. Yılmaz M
10 J. Justvan F
36 L. Schleimer F
30 M. Emreli F
Bench (9)
2 O. Villadsen
6 F. Flick
23 J. Serra
34 D. Forkel
26 C. Mathenia
3 Danilo Soares
33 N. Seidel
22 E. Valentini
35 S. Joachims

Coach: M. Klose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,07
U
3,70
B ✓
3,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,32
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.