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2. Bundesliga

Referee: N Winter

Ulm

U T U S T

1–0

Full-time

Magdeburg

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ulm Magdeburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 29%

14%

43%

Points per game

0,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

43%

71%

Both score Ø 63%

57%

68%

Average goals

2,3

3,4

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

7 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ulm 17. · Magdeburg 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	29	14	10	5	+27	52
2	FC Koln	29	15	6	8	+9	51
3	Magdeburg	28	12	10	6	+14	46
4	Kaiserslautern	28	13	7	8	+6	46
5	Paderborn	28	12	9	7	+10	45
6	Elversberg	28	12	8	8	+19	44
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	28	12	8	8	+4	44
8	Hannover	28	11	10	7	+7	43
9	Nurnberg	28	12	5	11	+3	41
10	Karlsruhe	28	11	7	10	-3	40
11	Schalke 04	28	10	7	11	-2	37
12	Hertha	28	10	5	13	-2	35
13	Greuther Furth	29	9	8	12	-12	35
14	Darmstadt	28	9	7	12	+2	34
15	Braunschweig	29	7	9	13	-22	30
16	Preußen Münster	28	6	9	13	-8	27
17	Ulm	28	4	11	13	-7	23
18	Regensburg	28	5	4	19	-45	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	15	7	7	1	+20	28
2	Hannover	14	7	6	1	+9	27
3	Elversberg	15	8	2	5	+11	26
4	Kaiserslautern	14	7	5	2	+11	26
5	Nurnberg	14	8	2	4	+6	26
6	FC Koln	14	7	3	4	+9	24
7	Karlsruhe	14	7	3	4	+3	24
8	Paderborn	14	7	2	5	+7	23
9	Darmstadt	14	6	4	4	+9	22
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	6	4	5	+0	22
11	Schalke 04	14	6	2	6	-1	20
12	Greuther Furth	15	5	5	5	-4	20
13	Braunschweig	14	5	4	5	-3	19
14	Regensburg	14	5	3	6	-7	18
15	Magdeburg	14	3	7	4	-1	16
16	Preußen Münster	14	3	5	6	-2	14
17	Ulm	13	3	4	6	+0	13
18	Hertha	13	3	2	8	-5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	14	9	3	2	+15	30
2	FC Koln	15	8	3	4	+0	27
3	Hamburg	14	7	3	4	+7	24
4	Hertha	15	7	3	5	+3	24
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	6	4	3	+4	22
6	Paderborn	14	5	7	2	+3	22
7	Kaiserslautern	14	6	2	6	-5	20
8	Elversberg	13	4	6	3	+8	18
9	Schalke 04	14	4	5	5	-1	17
10	Hannover	14	4	4	6	-2	16
11	Karlsruhe	14	4	4	6	-6	16
12	Nurnberg	14	4	3	7	-3	15
13	Greuther Furth	14	4	3	7	-8	15
14	Preußen Münster	14	3	4	7	-6	13
15	Darmstadt	14	3	3	8	-7	12
16	Braunschweig	15	2	5	8	-19	11
17	Ulm	15	1	7	7	-7	10
18	Regensburg	14	0	1	13	-38	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.