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Pro League
Referee: W Smet
Kortrijk
T S S U S
3–2
Full-time
Beerschot VA
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Beerschot VA
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 16%
23%
8%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
65%
58%
Both score Ø 48%
46%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

2,28 xG 1,08
61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 0
4 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 14. · Beerschot VA 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Genk 22 17 3 2 +23 +21.7 54
2 Club Brugge 22 15 5 2 +29 +26.2 50
3 St. Gilloise 22 13 6 3 +25 +24.0 45
4 Anderlecht 22 12 5 5 +22 +6.4 41
5 Antwerp 21 10 8 3 +16 -1.2 38
6 Gent 22 8 8 6 +7 -4.0 32
7 Cercle Brugge 26 7 9 10 -15 -2.3 30
8 Charleroi 22 7 8 7 +0 +2.4 29
9 Dender 22 7 7 8 -7 -11.9 28
10 Standard 22 7 6 9 -13 -8.3 27
11 Mechelen 22 6 6 10 -2 +0.7 24
12 Westerlo 23 6 6 11 -3 -0.3 24
13 St Truiden 26 5 7 14 -24 -8.6 22
14 Kortrijk 26 6 3 17 -24 -16.2 21
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 22 3 11 8 -7 -3.9 20
16 Beerschot VA 26 2 8 16 -27 -24.5 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Beerschot VA
17′
E. Henderson 0–1
R. van La Parra
1–1 J. Duverne
39′
2–1 Nacho Ferri
T. Ambrose
43′
45′
A. Colassin 2–2
Half-time 2–2
46′
ℹ️ Antoine Colassin
VAR: Goal confirmed
65′
🔁 M. Weymans
↦ D. van der Kust
65′
🔁 D. Redan
↦ A. Colassin
Marco Ilaimaharitra 🟨
66′
D. De Neve 🔁
↦ D. Karim
69′
73′
🟨 Davor Matijaš
3–2 N. Mehssatou
A. Kadri
82′
K. Kostons 🔁
↦ A. Kadri
84′
K. Czubak 🔁
↦ T. Ambrose
84′
89′
🔁 D. Wright-Phillips
↦ Faisal Al Ghamdi
89′
🔁 D. Tshimanga
↦ R. van La Parra
Nacho Ferri 🟨
91′
G. Dewaele 🔁
↦ Nacho Ferri
93′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Kortrijk

3-4-3
13 E. De Vlaeminck G
27 A. Sissako D
33 R. Tsunoda D
5 J. Ndjeungoue D
93 J. Duverne M
8 D. Karim M
23 M. Ilaimaharitra M
6 N. Mehssatou M
10 A. Kadri F
19 Nacho Ferri F
68 T. Ambrose F
Bench (9)
11 D. De Neve
18 K. Kostons
9 K. Czubak
20 G. Dewaele
32 Mouhamed Guèye II
24 H. Fujii
1 T. Alliet
26 B. Lagae
17 M. Bruno

Coach: B. Storck

Beerschot VA

4-4-2
71 D. Matijaš G
4 B. Plat D
66 A. Konstantopoulos D
5 L. Mbe Soh D
11 D. van der Kust D
8 E. Henderson M
20 H. Sahabo M
16 Faisal Al Ghamdi M
77 R. van La Parra M
17 Marwan Al Sahafi F
25 A. Colassin F
Bench (9)
28 M. Weymans
10 D. Redan
32 D. Wright-Phillips
26 D. Tshimanga
33 N. Shinton
30 D. Huiberts
3 E. Ortakaya
7 T. Reyners
42 A. Martha

Coach: D. Kuijt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,57
U
4,13
B
5,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,09
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Smet · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.