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Primeira Liga
Referee: André Narciso
0–1
Full-time
Santa Clara
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Santa Clara
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
2,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,7
This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
5,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
5,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-5,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
19 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
24 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 18. · Santa Clara 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 3 2 0 1 +7 6
2 Benfica 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 Famalicao 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Sp Braga 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Moreirense 2 1 0 1 +1 3
6 Boavista 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Gil Vicente 2 1 0 1 -2 3
8 Tondela 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Maritimo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Sp Lisbon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Portimonense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Belenenses 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Setubal 2 0 1 1 -4 1
14 Vitoria Setubal 2 0 1 1 -4 1
15 Aves 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Rio Ave 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Santa Clara 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Pacos Ferreira 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pacos Ferreira Santa Clara
17′
Thiago Santana 0–1
Carlos
Half-time 0–1
Zé Uilton 🔁
↦ Douglas Tanque
46′
Diogo Almeida 🔁
↦ Murilo
46′
Bruno Santos 🟨
51′
Uilton 🟨
53′
73′
🔁 Guilherme Schettine
↦ Thiago Santana
Pedrinho 🟨
77′
78′
🔁 Zé Manuel
↦ Carlos
Matchoi Djaló 🔁
↦ Pedrinho
83′
87′
🔁 Nené
↦ Bruno Lamas
89′
🟨 Nene
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Pacos Ferreira

4-2-3-1
87 Ricardo Ribeiro G
6 Bruno Teles D
2 Marco Baixinho D
13 Bruno Santos D
26 Maracás D
22 Luíz Carlos M
10 Pedrinho M
24 M. Diaby M
99 Douglas Tanque F
77 Murilo M
17 Hélder Ferreira M
Bench (7)
9 Zé Uilton
28 Diogo Almeida
16 Matchoi Djaló
4 André Micael
1 Simão Bertelli
5 O. Reabciuk
8 André Leão

Coach: Filó

Santa Clara

4-2-3-1
99 Marco Pereira G
24 Mamadu Candé D
91 Patrick D
4 Fábio Cardoso D
5 João Afonso D
6 Osama Rashid M
88 Chico Ramos M
10 Bruno Lamas M
7 Ukra M
14 Thiago Santana F
13 Carlos M
Bench (7)
95 Guilherme Schettine
70 Zé Manuel
21 Nené
17 Lincoln
15 João Lucas
3 Z. Sanusi
1 André Ferreira

Coach: João Henriques

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,36
U
3,21
B ✓
3,03
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,17
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

André Narciso · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.