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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Mota
Boavista
S S S S U
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Pacos Ferreira
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
2,3
0,3
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
0,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 17
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boavista 5. · Pacos Ferreira 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 4 3 0 1 +9 9
2 Benfica 3 2 0 1 +5 6
3 Famalicao 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Moreirense 4 1 2 1 +1 5
5 Boavista 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Sp Lisbon 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Portimonense 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Rio Ave 2 1 0 1 +3 3
9 Sp Braga 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Santa Clara 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Gil Vicente 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Aves 3 1 0 2 -3 3
13 Tondela 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Setubal 3 0 2 1 -4 2
15 Vitoria Setubal 3 0 2 1 -4 2
16 Guimaraes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Maritimo 2 0 1 1 -2 1
18 Belenenses 2 0 1 1 -2 1
19 Pacos Ferreira 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Pacos Ferreira
1–0 Heriberto Tavares
Alberto Bueno
12′
17′
Marco Baixinho 1–1
Alberto Bueno 🟨
39′
Nwankwo Obiora 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
Cassiano 🔁
↦ Alberto Bueno
46′
Y. Ackah 🔁
↦ N. Obiora
46′
Cassiano 🟨
48′
55′
🟨 Mohamed Diaby
66′
🔁 Bernardo Martins
↦ Murilo
Marlon 🟨
74′
75′
🔁 O. Reabciuk
↦ Hélder Ferreira
79′
🔁 Diogo Almeida
↦ Renat Dadaşov
Y. Njie 🔁
↦ N. Stojiljković
80′
Mateus 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Luiz Carlos
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Boavista

4-2-3-1
1 Rafael Bracalli G
3 Lucas Tagliapietra D
27 Neris D
6 Marlon Xavier D
4 N. Obiora M
23 Rafael Costa M
17 Carraça D
9 Mateus M
14 Alberto Bueno M
19 N. Stojiljković F
91 Heriberto Tavares M
Bench (7)
39 Cassiano
88 Y. Ackah
11 Y. Njie
8 Gustavo
99 João Gonçalves
22 Ricardo Costa
10 Fábio Espinho

Coach: Lito Vidigal

Pacos Ferreira

4-2-3-1
1 Simão Bertelli G
6 Bruno Teles D
2 Marco Baixinho D
13 Bruno Santos D
26 Maracás D
22 Luíz Carlos M
10 Pedrinho M
24 M. Diaby M
77 Murilo M
17 Hélder Ferreira M
11 Renat Dadaşov F
Bench (7)
7 Bernardo Martins
5 O. Reabciuk
28 Diogo Almeida
4 André Micael
70 Yago César
18 Rafael Gava
23 Marco Sousa

Coach: Filó

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,14
U ✓
3,13
B
3,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,49
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Mota · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.