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Primeira Liga

Referee: António Nobre

Belenenses

T T S T U

0–0

Full-time

Moreirense

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Belenenses Moreirense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,5

3,0

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,3

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

15 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 3

5 Offside 1

22 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Belenenses 10. · Moreirense 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Porto	4	2	1	1	+6	7
3	Sp Lisbon	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Santa Clara	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Sp Braga	4	2	0	2	+2	6
6	Maritimo	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Gil Vicente	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Nacional	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Portimonense	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Famalicao	3	1	1	1	-3	4
14	Rio Ave	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Boavista	3	0	2	1	-5	2
16	Tondela	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Farense	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Moreirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Gil Vicente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Porto	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Nacional	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Famalicao	2	0	1	1	-4	1
14	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Farense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Porto	2	1	1	0	+5	4
3	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Nacional	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Boavista	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Rio Ave	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Gil Vicente	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Farense	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.