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Primeira Liga

Referee: João Carlos Bento

Maritimo

T U T S S

1–2

Full-time

Portimonense

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Portimonense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

1,7

Scored

1,7

0,3

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

10 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

23 Free kicks against 20

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Maritimo 5. · Portimonense 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Santa Clara	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Porto	3	2	0	1	+6	6
4	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Maritimo	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Nacional	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Gil Vicente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Famalicao	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Sp Braga	3	1	0	2	+1	3
13	Rio Ave	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Boavista	3	0	2	1	-5	2
15	Portimonense	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Farense	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Moreirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Porto	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Nacional	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
11	Famalicao	2	0	1	1	-4	1
12	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-4	1
13	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Farense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Boavista	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Rio Ave	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Gil Vicente	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Farense	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.