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Primeira Liga
Referee: Vitor Ferreira
Maritimo
T S S T T
0–0
Full-time
Nacional
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Nacional
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
80%
40%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
3,2
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 24
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Maritimo 11. · Nacional 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 5 5 0 0 +12 15
2 Sp Lisbon 5 4 1 0 +7 13
3 Porto 6 3 1 2 +6 10
4 Sp Braga 5 3 0 2 +3 9
5 Rio Ave 6 2 3 1 +0 9
6 Pacos Ferreira 6 2 2 2 -1 8
7 Moreirense 6 2 2 2 -1 8
8 Santa Clara 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Guimaraes 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Nacional 5 1 3 1 +0 6
11 Maritimo 5 2 0 3 -2 6
12 Belenenses 6 1 3 2 -2 6
13 Famalicao 5 1 3 1 -3 6
14 Gil Vicente 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Tondela 5 1 2 2 -4 5
16 Portimonense 5 1 1 3 -3 4
17 Boavista 5 0 3 2 -6 3
18 Farense 6 0 2 4 -5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Maritimo Nacional
12′
🟨 Larry Azouni
21′
🟨 Vincent Thill
Zainadine Júnior 🟨
25′
29′
🟨 Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi
Half-time 0–0
F. Fumu Tamuzo 🔁
↦ J. Correa
57′
62′
🔁 K. Gorré
↦ V. Thill
Renê 🔁
↦ Jean Cleber
77′
A. Alipour 🔁
↦ J. Tagueu
80′
84′
🔁 B. Róchez
↦ Rúben Micael
85′
🔁 Nuno Borges
↦ B. Riascos
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Maritimo

4-3-3
1 A. Abedzadeh G
5 Zainadine Júnior D
2 Cláudio Winck D
45 Fábio China D
4 Lucas Áfrico D
8 J. Correa F
16 Jean Cleber M
18 F. Bambock M
60 Pedro Pelágio M
95 J. Tagueu F
9 Rodrigo Pinho F
Bench (9)
11 F. Fumu Tamuzo
25 Renê
70 A. Alipour
20 Jefferson
12 Edgar Costa
86 Marcelo Hermes
7 R. Guitane
22 Caio Secco
15 D. Kerkez

Coach: Lito Vidigal

Nacional

4-1-4-1
13 Daniel G
27 Rúben Freitas D
44 Júlio César D
3 Lucas Kal D
4 Pedrão D
14 Rúben Micael M
5 L. Azouni M
45 V. Thill M
6 A. Alhassan M
94 B. Riascos F
7 João Camacho M
Bench (9)
11 K. Gorré
35 B. Róchez
55 Nuno Borges
33 Rui Correia
80 M. Rouai
77 João Victor
8 V. Danilović
12 G. Bobál
1 R. Piscitelli

Coach: Carlos Simões

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,16
U ✓
3,25
B
3,41
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Vitor Ferreira · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.