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Primeira Liga
Referee: Rui Costa
Vizela
T S T
1–1
Full-time
Boavista
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vizela Boavista
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
2,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vizela 14. · Boavista 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Estoril 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Sp Lisbon 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Benfica 3 3 0 0 +5 9
4 Porto 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Portimonense 3 2 0 1 +3 6
6 Sp Braga 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Boavista 3 2 0 1 +2 6
8 Gil Vicente 3 2 0 1 +2 6
9 Guimaraes 3 1 1 1 +3 4
10 Maritimo 4 1 1 2 -2 4
11 Tondela 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Pacos Ferreira 3 1 0 2 -3 3
13 Arouca 3 1 0 2 -3 3
14 Vizela 3 1 0 2 -6 3
15 Moreirense 4 0 2 2 -2 2
16 Belenenses 4 0 1 3 -5 1
17 Santa Clara 3 0 1 2 -5 1
18 Famalicao 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vizela Boavista
36′
🟨 Sebastián Pérez
Marcos Paulo 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–1
51′
⚽ Gustavo Sauer 0–1
Y. Hamache
Samu 🟨
56′
60′
🔁 Filipe Ferreira
↦ Y. Hamache
K. Zohi 🔁
↦ Guilherme Schettine
61′
67′
🔁 I. Vukotić
↦ Y. Njie
68′
🔁 P. Musa
↦ K. Gorré
1–1 K. Kouao ⚽
Kiko Bondoso
74′
Kiki Afonso 🟨
82′
Raphael Guzzo 🔁
↦ Claudemir
84′
F. Cann 🔁
↦ Nuno Moreira
84′
88′
🔁 Tiago Morais
↦ S. Pérez
88′
🔁 Pedro Malheiro
↦ Nathan
R. Ofori 🔁
↦ K. Kouao
93′
94′
🟨 Rafael Bracali
95′
🟨 Petar Musa
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Vizela

4-2-3-1
87 Charles G
3 Bruno Wilson D
24 Kiki Afonso D
10 Kiko Bondoso M
4 Ivanildo Fernandes D
39 K. Kouao D
6 Claudemir M
17 Marcos Paulo M
20 Samú M
79 Nuno Moreira M
95 Guilherme Schettine F
Bench (9)
22 K. Zohi
8 Raphael Guzzo
99 F. Cann
37 R. Ofori
12 Marcelo
84 Ivo Gonçalves
19 A. Méndez
82 Tomás Silva
14 Igor Julião

Coach: Álvaro Pacheco

Boavista

3-4-3
1 Rafael Bracali G
4 Tiago Ilori D
5 C. Awaziem D
25 Y. Hamache M
22 Nathan M
6 Javi García D
24 S. Pérez M
42 G. Makouta M
7 K. Gorré F
8 Gustavo Sauer F
11 Y. Njie F
Bench (9)
20 Filipe Ferreira
18 I. Vukotić
9 P. Musa
73 Tiago Morais
79 Pedro Malheiro
90 A. Beiranvand
26 R. Abascal
77 Luís Santos
14 Tomás Reymão

Coach: João Pedro Sousa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
🔒
U ✓
3,23
🔒
B
2,57
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,06
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,77
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Rui Costa · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.