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Primeira Liga

Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro

Porto

S S S S S

0–1

Full-time

Benfica

U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Benfica

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

3,0

2,0

Conceded

0,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+1,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 84%

78%

89%

Points per game

2,4

2,8

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

56%

67%

Both score Ø 39%

44%

33%

Average goals

3,1

Scored

2,4

2,6

Conceded

0,7

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

30% Possession 70%

11 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 19

5 Yellow cards 7

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Porto 2. · Benfica 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	9	8	1	0	+18	25
2	Porto	9	7	1	1	+16	22
3	Sp Braga	9	6	1	2	+14	19
4	Casa Pia	9	5	2	2	+4	17
5	Sp Lisbon	9	5	1	3	+6	16
6	Boavista	9	5	1	3	-4	16
7	Estoril	9	4	3	2	+4	15
8	Portimonense	9	5	0	4	-1	15
9	Guimaraes	9	4	2	3	+1	14
10	Chaves	9	3	3	3	-1	12
11	Arouca	9	3	3	3	-6	12
12	Vizela	9	3	2	4	-2	11
13	Rio Ave	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Gil Vicente	9	2	3	4	-4	9
15	Famalicao	9	2	1	6	-6	7
16	Santa Clara	9	1	2	6	-5	5
17	Pacos Ferreira	9	0	2	7	-11	2
18	Maritimo	9	0	1	8	-19	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	Porto	4	4	0	0	+13	12
3	Sp Braga	5	3	1	1	+7	10
4	Boavista	5	3	1	1	+0	10
5	Sp Lisbon	4	3	0	1	+7	9
6	Portimonense	5	3	0	2	+0	9
7	Casa Pia	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Guimaraes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Arouca	5	2	1	2	-3	7
10	Rio Ave	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Famalicao	4	2	0	2	+1	6
12	Estoril	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Santa Clara	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Gil Vicente	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Vizela	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Chaves	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Pacos Ferreira	5	0	1	4	-8	1
18	Maritimo	4	0	0	4	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Estoril	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Porto	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Casa Pia	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Sp Braga	4	3	0	1	+7	9
6	Chaves	5	3	0	2	+0	9
7	Guimaraes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Sp Lisbon	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Vizela	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Portimonense	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Boavista	4	2	0	2	-4	6
12	Arouca	4	1	2	1	-3	5
13	Gil Vicente	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Rio Ave	5	0	3	2	-5	3
15	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-3	1
16	Famalicao	5	0	1	4	-7	1
17	Maritimo	5	0	1	4	-15	1
18	Santa Clara	4	0	0	4	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.