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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Oliveira

Benfica

S S S U U

4–2

Full-time

Rio Ave

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Rio Ave

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,8

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 57%

88%

25%

Points per game

2,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 44%

25%

63%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

2,4

1,4

Conceded

0,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

65% Possession 35%

32 Shots 8

10 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

3 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 1. · Rio Ave 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	8	7	1	0	+16	22
2	Sp Braga	8	6	1	1	+15	19
3	Porto	8	6	1	1	+14	19
4	Casa Pia	8	5	2	1	+5	17
5	Sp Lisbon	9	5	1	3	+6	16
6	Estoril	9	4	3	2	+4	15
7	Portimonense	8	5	0	3	+1	15
8	Boavista	8	5	0	3	-4	15
9	Guimaraes	8	3	2	3	+0	11
10	Rio Ave	8	2	3	3	-2	9
11	Chaves	8	2	3	3	-2	9
12	Gil Vicente	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	Arouca	8	2	3	3	-9	9
14	Vizela	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Famalicao	8	2	1	5	-3	7
16	Santa Clara	9	1	2	6	-5	5
17	Pacos Ferreira	8	0	2	6	-10	2
18	Maritimo	8	0	0	8	-19	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	4	4	0	0	+13	12
2	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+11	12
3	Sp Braga	4	3	1	0	+8	10
4	Sp Lisbon	4	3	0	1	+7	9
5	Portimonense	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Boavista	4	3	0	1	+0	9
7	Casa Pia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Guimaraes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Rio Ave	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Famalicao	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Estoril	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Santa Clara	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Gil Vicente	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Vizela	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Arouca	4	1	1	2	-6	4
16	Chaves	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-7	1
18	Maritimo	4	0	0	4	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Estoril	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Casa Pia	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Sp Braga	4	3	0	1	+7	9
5	Porto	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Sp Lisbon	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Chaves	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Portimonense	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Boavista	4	2	0	2	-4	6
10	Arouca	4	1	2	1	-3	5
11	Guimaraes	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Gil Vicente	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Vizela	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Rio Ave	4	0	3	1	-3	3
15	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-3	1
16	Famalicao	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Santa Clara	4	0	0	4	-4	0
18	Maritimo	4	0	0	4	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.