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Primeira Liga
Referee: Rui Costa
Guimaraes
T T T S U
0–0
Full-time
Benfica
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,8
This season — Primeira Liga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 72%
43%
100%
Points per game
1,4
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
29%
71%
Both score Ø 29%
29%
29%
Average goals
1,7
3,1
Scored
0,9
2,7
Conceded
0,9
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%
6 Shots 6
1 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 22
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guimaraes 9. · Benfica 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 7 7 0 0 +16 21
2 Sp Braga 8 6 1 1 +15 19
3 Porto 8 6 1 1 +14 19
4 Portimonense 8 5 0 3 +1 15
5 Boavista 7 5 0 2 +0 15
6 Casa Pia 7 4 2 1 +4 14
7 Sp Lisbon 8 4 1 3 +5 13
8 Estoril 8 3 3 2 +3 12
9 Guimaraes 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 Chaves 8 2 3 3 -2 9
11 Gil Vicente 8 2 3 3 -3 9
12 Vizela 8 2 2 4 -3 8
13 Arouca 7 2 2 3 -9 8
14 Rio Ave 7 1 3 3 -3 6
15 Santa Clara 7 1 2 4 -3 5
16 Famalicao 7 1 1 5 -7 4
17 Pacos Ferreira 7 0 1 6 -10 1
18 Maritimo 7 0 0 7 -18 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guimaraes Benfica
André André 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
Ibrahima Bamba 🟨
48′
52′
🟨 Rafa Silva
Rúben Lameiras 🔁
↦ Jota Silva
63′
Alisson Safira 🔁
↦ Anderson Silva
63′
70′
🔁 P. Musa
↦ Gonçalo Ramos
70′
🔁 F. Aursnes
↦ Florentino
71′
🔁 J. Draxler
↦ David Neres
Allison Safira ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
73′
Allison Safira 🟨
74′
81′
🔁 Diogo Gonçalves
↦ João Mário
M. Johnston 🔁
↦ Nélson Luz
84′
R. Ogawa 🔁
↦ Afonso de Freitas
84′
92′
🔁 J. Brooks
↦ Rafa
Rúben Lameiras 🟨
93′
Dani Silva 🔁
↦ André André
95′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Guimaraes

3-4-3
14 Bruno Varela G
13 André Amaro D
22 I. Bamba D
3 M. Villanueva D
28 Zé Carlos M
10 Tiago Silva M
21 André André M
72 Afonso de Freitas M
11 Jota Silva F
33 Anderson Silva F
20 Nélson Luz F
Bench (9)
7 Rúben Lameiras
9 Alisson Safira
90 M. Johnston
25 R. Ogawa
80 Dani Silva
98 N. Janvier
23 Matheus Índio
63 Celton Biai
83 M. Tounkara

Coach: Moreno

Benfica

4-2-3-1
99 O. Vlachodimos G
6 A. Bah D
66 António Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
61 Florentino M
13 E. Fernández M
7 David Neres M
27 Rafa M
20 João Mário M
88 Gonçalo Ramos F
Bench (9)
33 P. Musa
8 F. Aursnes
93 J. Draxler
17 Diogo Gonçalves
25 J. Brooks
22 Chiquinho
23 M. Ristić
77 Helton Leite
2 Gilberto

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,89
U ✓
4,92
B
1,37
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,19
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rui Costa · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.