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Primeira Liga
Referee: J Pinheiro
Benfica
S U S S S
1–1
Full-time
Santa Clara
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Santa Clara
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,7
0,8
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
0,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Primeira Liga · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
100%
25%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
67%
25%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,3
Scored
2,0
0,3
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,72 xG 1,09
78% Possession 22%
19 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Benfica 4. · Santa Clara 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Porto 4 4 0 0 +10 +5.6 12
2 Famalicao 4 3 1 0 +5 +0.2 10
3 Sp Lisbon 4 3 0 1 +10 +6.4 9
4 Benfica 3 3 0 0 +5 +3.9 9
5 Moreirense 4 3 0 1 +2 +1.8 9
6 Sp Braga 4 2 2 0 +6 +3.2 8
7 Gil Vicente 4 2 1 1 +2 +0.5 7
8 Arouca 4 1 2 1 -4 -3.4 5
9 Nacional 4 1 1 2 -3 -1.7 4
10 Santa Clara 4 1 1 2 -3 +0.3 4
11 Guimaraes 4 1 1 2 -4 -2.5 4
12 Rio Ave 3 0 3 0 +0 +0.4 3
13 Estrela 4 0 3 1 -1 +0.2 3
14 Casa Pia 4 1 0 3 -6 -5.2 3
15 Estoril 4 0 2 2 -2 -3.2 2
16 Alverca 4 0 1 3 -5 -0.8 1
17 AVS 4 0 1 3 -5 -2.5 1
18 Tondela 4 0 1 3 -7 -3.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Benfica Santa Clara
21′
🟨 Gabriel Silva
37′
ℹ️ Paulo Victor
VAR: Card upgrade
38′
🟥 Paulo Victor
Half-time 0–0
G. Prestianni 🔁
↦ T. Araujo
46′
Enzo Barrenechea 🟨
58′
1–0 V. Pavlidis
59′
61′
🔁 Diogo Calila
↦ Gabriel Silva
61′
🔁 Vinicius Lopes
↦ Brenner
G. Sudakov 🔁
↦ A. Schjelderup
72′
L. Barreiro 🔁
↦ R. Rios
72′
H. Araujo 🔁
↦ F. Ivanovic
72′
81′
🔁 P. Ferreira
↦ Adriano Firmino
81′
🔁 A. Carter
↦ Matheus Pereira
81′
🔁 Luquinhas
↦ Serginho
90′
Vinicius Lopes 1–1
A. Carter
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Benfica

4-4-2
1 A. Trubin G
44 T. Araujo D
4 A. Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
26 S. Dahl D
8 F. Aursnes M
20 R. Rios M
5 E. Barrenechea M
21 A. Schjelderup M
9 F. Ivanovic F
14 V. Pavlidis F
Bench (9)
24 S. Soares
3 R. Obrador
10 G. Sudakov
18 L. Barreiro
25 G. Prestianni
39 H. Araujo
64 G. Oliveira
71 L. Santos
86 D. Prioste

Coach: Jose Mourinho

Santa Clara

3-4-3
1 Gabriel Batista G
23 S. Lima D
21 F. Venancio D
32 MT
42 Lucas Soares M
35 Serginho M
6 Adriano Firmino M
64 Paulo Victor M
11 Brenner F
10 Gabriel Silva F
3 Matheus Pereira F
Bench (9)
12 Neneca
2 Diogo Calila
8 P. Ferreira
9 A. Carter
13 L. Rocha
17 J. Costa
28 Luquinhas
65 J. Tavares
70 Vinicius Lopes

Coach: Vasco Matos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,34
U ✓
4,57
B
9,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Pinheiro · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.