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2. Bundesliga
Referee: K Oldhafer
Bielefeld
S S S T U
2–0
Full-time
Magdeburg
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Magdeburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
4,5
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bielefeld 5. · Magdeburg 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hannover 4 4 0 0 +6 +2.5 12
2 Elversberg 4 3 0 1 +2 -2.9 9
3 Schalke 04 4 3 0 1 +2 +0.8 9
4 Karlsruhe 4 2 2 0 +3 +0.3 8
5 Bielefeld 4 2 1 1 +5 +1.7 7
6 Darmstadt 4 2 1 1 +2 +0.9 7
7 Preußen Münster 4 2 1 1 +1 -2.5 7
8 Braunschweig 4 2 1 1 +0 -1.1 7
9 Kaiserslautern 4 2 0 2 +1 -0.2 6
10 Greuther Furth 4 2 0 2 -1 -0.2 6
11 Paderborn 4 1 2 1 +0 +2.8 5
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 4 1 1 2 -5 -3.5 4
13 Dresden 4 1 0 3 -2 +1.8 3
14 Holstein Kiel 4 1 0 3 -2 +0.1 3
15 Magdeburg 4 1 0 3 -3 -0.5 3
16 Bochum 4 1 0 3 -3 +1.8 3
17 Hertha 4 0 2 2 -3 -1.9 2
18 Nurnberg 4 0 1 3 -3 +0.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bielefeld Magdeburg
6′
🟨 Marcus Mathisen
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Corboz
J. Grodowski
52′
2–0 J. Grodowski
M. Mehlem
62′
69′
🟨 Eldin Džogović
73′
🔁 L. Ulrich
↦ S. Gnaka
73′
🔁 P. Hercher
↦ D. Heber
73′
🔁 M. Geschwill
↦ M. Mathisen
74′
🔁 A. Holmstrom
↦ A. Onaiwu
S. Schreck 🔁
↦ I. Young
79′
A. Sicker 🔁
↦ T. Momuluh
79′
Marvin Mehlem 🟨
85′
87′
🔁 A. Hoti
↦ E. Dzogovic
J. Felix 🔁
↦ M. Mehlem
89′
J. Kania 🔁
↦ J. Grodowski
89′
A. F. Ocansey V. 🔁
↦ M. Worl
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Bielefeld

4-3-3
1 J. Kersken G
14 T. Momuluh D
23 L. Schneider D
19 M. Grosser D
2 F. Hagmann D
10 M. Mehlem M
21 S. Russo M
6 M. Corboz M
30 I. Young F
11 J. Grodowski F
38 M. Worl F
Bench (9)
18 L. Oppermann
3 J. Felix
7 J. Kania
8 S. Schreck
13 L. Kunze
17 A. Sicker
20 F. Micheler
36 J. Lukas
45 A. F. Ocansey V.

Coach: Michel Kniat

Magdeburg

4-2-3-1
1 D. Reimann G
15 D. Heber D
16 M. Mathisen D
24 J. Hugonet D
4 E. Dzogovic D
25 S. Gnaka M
6 D. Stalmach M
29 R. Ghrieb M
45 A. Onaiwu M
23 B. Atik M
9 M. Breunig F
Bench (9)
30 N. Kruth
3 A. Hoti
8 L. Ulrich
10 N. Pesch
11 A. Holmstrom
21 F. Michel
27 P. Hercher
28 M. Geschwill
38 L. Hyrylainen

Coach: Petrik Sander

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,13
U
3,63
B
3,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,53
U2,5 ✓
2,37
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.