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Serie B

Referee: Ivano Pezzuto

Avellino

S T T T U

2–1

Full-time

Monza

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Avellino Monza

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 27%

20%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

40%

33%

Both score Ø 45%

40%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,2

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,5

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

11 Shots 9

1 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 4

2 Corners 3

3 Offside 3

22 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Avellino 17. · Monza 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Sudtirol	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Modena	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Carrarese	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Venezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Monza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Reggiana	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Mantova	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Virtus Entella	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Catanzaro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Juve Stabia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Bari	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Padova	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Avellino	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Pescara	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Sudtirol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Modena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Juve Stabia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Carrarese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Modena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Juve Stabia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Frosinone	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Venezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Padova	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Avellino	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Bari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.